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不断飙升的天然气价格可能提高全球石油需求

2021-09-24 来源: 中国石化新闻网
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  中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2021年9月22日报道,目前天然气短缺和天然气市场价格飙升可能对欧佩克有利。欧佩克预计,当欧洲和亚洲的天然气价格达到每年这个时候的创纪录水平时,欧亚地区对其他燃料的需求将会增加。

  尼日利亚国家石油公司(NNPC)总经理Mele Kyari周三在接受彭博电视台记者采访时表示,非洲最大的石油生产国和出口国尼日利亚预计,不断飙升的天然气价格将推高油价,因为消费者将被迫在今年冬天寻找天然气的替代燃料。

  Kyari补充称,由于天然气危机,全球石油需求可能每天增加100万桶,未来三到六个月,天然气危机可能推动油价上涨大约10美元/桶。

  伊拉克石油部长Ihsan Abdul Jabbar Ismaael告诉彭博社,在欧佩克中仅次于沙特阿拉伯的第二大石油生产国的伊拉克也认为在天然气短缺的情况下,全球对原油的需求将会上升。

  石油需求上升对欧佩克来说将是好消息,因为欧佩克正寻求将每月减产幅度放宽40万桶/天,直到明年某个时候解除全部减产。 在天然气危机袭击欧洲之前,考虑到过去几个月新冠肺炎疫情的抬头,分析师怀疑欧佩克能否保持每月增加市场供应量的做法。

  本周早些时候,高盛集团表示,寒冷的冬季和全球天然气价格飙升可能导致油价到今年年底高于预期,第四季度油价有可能达到每桶85美元。

  高盛集团分析师周日在一份报告中写道:“全球天然气供应紧张为今年冬天的石油市场创造了一个明确且可能有意义的看涨催化剂,其影响大于又一波类似德尔塔的新冠疫情给全球石油需求带来的下行风险。”

  9月22日早些时候,油价上涨幅度超过1%,布伦特原油交易价格超过75美元/桶。

  李峻 编译自 油价网

  原文如下:

  Soaring Natural Gas Prices Could Lift Oil Demand

  The current shortage of natural gas and price spikes on the gas markets could be a boon to OPEC, which expects higher demand for other fuels when gas prices are at records for this time of the year in Europe and Asia.

  Africa’s top oil producer and exporter, Nigeria, sees the soaring gas prices seeping into the oil prices because consumers would be forced to seek fuels alternative to natural gas this winter, Mele Kyari, managing director of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), told Bloomberg Television in an interview on Wednesday.

  Demand for oil could be boosted by as much as 1 million barrels per day (bpd) due to the gas crisis, Kyari, adding that the gas crunch could push oil prices up by around $10 per barrel over the next three to six months.

  Iraq, OPEC’s second-largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia, also believes that demand for crude will rise amid the shortage of gas, Iraqi Oil Minister Ihsan Abdul Jabbar Ismaael told Bloomberg.

  Higher oil demand will be welcome news for OPEC as it looks to ease its cuts by 400,000 bpd each month until it unwinds all the collective cut at some point next year. Before the gas crisis hit Europe, analysts doubted that OPEC could stay the course of monthly additions to the market in view of the COVID resurgence in the past months.

  Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs said that a colder winter and soaring natural gas prices globally could lead to higher-than-expected oil prices at the end of this year, with the potential for oil hitting $85 per barrel in the fourth quarter.

  “The tightness in global gas supplies creates a clear and potentially meaningful bullish catalyst for the oil market this winter, larger than the downside risk to global oil demand from another Delta-like COVID wave,” the analysts at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note on Sunday.

  Early on Wednesday, oil prices were up by more than 1%, with Brent Crude trading above $75.

 
 
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