维多预计未来5年全球天然气市场前景相当乐观

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网9月27日新加坡报道，维多首席执行官罗素•哈迪（Russell Hardy）表示，由于欧洲低库存和强劲需求，全球天然气价格正处于“极端水平”，市场未来5年前景将相当乐观。

　　哈迪在APPEC 2021年年度会议的一次预先录制的采访中表示，全球石油日需求量仍保持在400万桶的水平，低于2019年新冠疫情爆发前的水平。

　　去年冬天的极端寒冷天气减少了西方天然气库存，库存未能及时重建，导致创纪录的价格接近每百万英热单位26美元。

　　哈迪表示，低库存并没有以我们期望的方式得到补充……价格处于极端水平，远远超过制造化肥和其他化学品的供应链成本。天气将是今年冬季推动供需的唯一主导因素，市场还将经历几个月的波动。

　　郝芬 译自 能源世界网

　　原文如下：

　　Global gas market set for reasonably bullish 5-yr outlook -Vitol CEO

　　Global gas prices are at "extreme levels" due to low inventories and strong demand in Europe, and the market is set for a reasonably bullish five-year outlook, said Russell Hardy, chief executive officer of Vitol.

　　In a pre-recorded interview for the annual APPEC 2021 conference, Hardy said global oil demand remained 4 million barrels per day behind the pre-COVID-19 levels of 2019.

　　Extreme cold weather last winter thinned natural gas stocks in the West and inventories have failed to be rebuilt in time, resulting in record prices near $26 per million British thermal units (mmBtu).

　　"The low inventories have not been replenished in the way we like ... the prices are at extreme levels that are way in excess of the cost for the supply chains to manage to manufacture fertilizer and other chemicals," said Hardy.

　　Weather will be the single dominant factor driving demand and supply this winter, and the market is embracing for a few more months of volatility, he said.

　　Demand, however, has been less elastic especially from growth centres like China, where imports for both liquefied natural gas and pipeline gas have expanded strongly, he said.