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达拉斯联储能源调查:2023年底WTI油价会是多少?

2023-01-05 来源:中国石化新闻网

中国石化新闻网讯 据钻井地带1月3日报道,2023年底WTI油价会是多少?来自150家石油和天然气公司的高管有他们的说法。西得克萨斯中质油(WTI)的价格在2023年底将是每桶83.63美元。

这是150家石油和天然气公司高管在第四季度达拉斯联储能源调查中,被问及他们对2023年年底的WTI价格预期时作出的均值预测。调查中的最低预测值为每桶65美元,而最高预测值为每桶160美元。

达拉斯联储能源调查报告强调,在调查收集期间,WTI价格平均为每桶73.67美元。在撰写本文时,WTI价格为每桶79.11美元。

WTI在2022年3月8日出现了2022年的最高收盘价,为每桶123.7美元,然后在2022年4月跌至每桶95美元以下,在2022年6月回升至每桶120美元以上,并在2022年12月9日稳步跌至2022年的最低收盘价,即每桶71.02美元。随后,WTI在2022年12月底时升至每桶80美元以上。

2022年第四季度达拉斯联储能源调查是第一次向受访者询问2023年年底价格的达拉斯联储能源调查。之前在整个2022年的三次调查都询问受访者对2022年年底价格的预期。

在2022年第三季度达拉斯联储能源调查中,159家石油和天然气公司的高管在被问及他们对2022年底WTI价格的预期时,给出的平均答复是每桶88.74美元。调查中的低预测值为每桶65美元,而高预测值为每桶122美元。WTI在2022年12月30日收于每桶80.26美元。

达拉斯联储在其网站上指出,达拉斯联储每季度进行一次能源调查,以获得对位于或总部在第十一区的石油和天然气公司的能源活动的及时评估。

曹海斌 编译自 钻井地带网站

Where Will WTI Oil Price Be at End 2023?

Executives from 150 oil and gas firms have their say.

The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil will be $83.63 per barrel at the end of 2023.

That was the average response executives from 150 oil and gas firms delivered when asked what they expected the WTI price to be at the end of next year as part of the fourth quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey. The low forecast in the survey came in at $65 per barrel, while the high forecast came in at $160 per barrel.

During the survey collection period, the WTI price averaged $73.67 per barrel, the Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted. At the time of writing, the WTI price was trading at $79.11 per barrel.

WTI saw its highest 2022 close on March 8, at $123.7 per barrel, before dropping to under $95 per barrel in April, rising back to more than $120 per barrel in June, and steadily dropping to its lowest 2022 close of $71.02 per barrel on December 9. WTI then rose above $80 per barrel towards the end of December.

The fourth quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey was the first Dallas Fed Energy Survey to ask respondents about year-end 2023 prices. The previous three surveys throughout 2022 all asked respondents what they expected year-end 2022 prices to be.

The average response executives from 159 oil and gas firms delivered, when asked what they expected the WTI price to be at the end of 2022 as part of the third quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey, was $88.74 per barrel. The low forecast in the survey came in at $65 per barrel, while the high forecast came in at $122 per barrel. WTI closed at $80.26 per barrel on December 30.

The Dallas Fed conducts the Dallas Fed Energy Survey quarterly to obtain a timely assessment of energy activity among oil and gas firms located or headquartered in the Eleventh District, the Dallas Fed notes on its website.


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