未来全球润滑油需求可能出现下滑

中国石化新闻网讯 据润滑油周报1月23日消息，全球最大的专业润滑油制造商之一的德国福斯油品集团的初步统计数据显示，2017年全球润滑油需求达到3570万吨，与2016年基本持平。不过福斯油品集团的一位高管警告称，受电动汽车和其它破坏性技术的影响，未来十年全球润滑油需求可能减少90万吨/年甚至更多。

1月9日至11日在德国奥斯特菲尔登召开的第21届国际摩擦学研讨会上，福斯油品集团执行董事会成员兼首席技术官Lutz Lindemann发表主题演讲时表示，2017年全球润滑油需求估计与2016年持平。而且他认为全球经济过热的一些轻微迹象不是一个完全健康的迹象。

润滑油供应商在许多方面面临着更多的挑战：电动汽车的普及所带来的影响，因为电动汽车与内燃发动机汽车的润滑油需求大不相同；可持续性和数字化影响着客户对润滑油的期望和购买决定；以及3D打印将使传统的制造业一败涂地。

庞晓华 摘译自 《润滑油周报》

原文如下：

Lube Demand Could Give Way

Global lubricant demand reached 35.7 million metric tons in 2017, neck-and-neck with the year before, indicates an initial tally from Fuchs Petrolub SE. Perhaps 900,000 tons or more of that could evaporate in the coming decade, however, due to electric vehicles and other disruptive technologies, a company executive warned.

In a keynote address to the 21st International Colloquium Tribology on Jan. 9, Fuchs executive board member and Chief Technology Officer Lutz Lindemann said lubricants demand was estimated as “stable” for 2017 versus 2016, while adding that he perceives “some slight indications of overheating in the global economy – not a totally healthy sign.”

Lubricant suppliers face additional challenges on a number of fronts: electric cars, which have vastly different lubricant needs than internal combustion engines; sustainability and digitalization, which are influencing customers’ lubricant expectations and purchasing decisions; and 3-D printing, also known as additive manufacturing, which promises to gut traditional manufacturing industries.