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| 2018-02-27 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据TABNinfo.com网站2月25日迪拜报道，美银美林日前在其最新一期全球能源报告中说，布伦特原油价格在到2023年的中期内预计将平均每桶50美元至70美元。 报告补充说，美银美林在此之前曾预测布伦特原油价格到2023年的中期内将平均每桶58美元以及15年平均价格为每桶72美元。报告指出，在过去两年里全球石油消费每天扩大了140万桶并将继续保持坚实的基础。 美银美林说：“根据我们最新的估计，到2023年，全球石油需求将继续保持每天110万桶的增长，低于非欧佩克平均每天75万桶石油供应增长。” 报告说：“但我们预计欧佩克将填补这一缺口，因为在去年12月达成的减产协议将在2019年开始谨慎削减。” 报告说，布伦特原油价格今年已达到每桶64美元。 李峻 编译自 TABNinfo.com 原文如下： Oil prices to average $50-$70 till 2023: BofAML DUBAIBrent crude oil prices are expected to average $50 to $70 per barrel (/bbl) in a medium-term horizon to 2023, said the Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) in its latest Global Energy Paper. This forecast range compares to a current forward strip of $58/bbl on average over the forecast horizon to 2023, and a 15-year average price of $72/bbl, the report added, noting that global oil consumption has expanded by 1.4 million b/d in the past two years and remains on a solid footing. “On our latest estimates, oil demand should keep growing by 1.1 million b/d per annum out to 2023, falling short of average annual non-Opec oil supply growth of 750 thousand b/d,” BofAML said. “But we expect Opec to fill the gap, as the deal agreed to in December 2016 is cautiously pared back starting next year.” Brent seen at $64/bbl this year |
