美页岩油产量大增使欧佩克上调全球原油预期

中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯伦敦3月15日消息，欧佩克周三表示，虽然2月份该组织的原油产量出现下降，但是全球总的产量继续增长。这已经迫使欧佩克往上修订今年全年美国页岩油产量的预测。

欧佩克在其受密切关注的月度石油市场报告中称，2月份该组织的原油产量环比减少7.7万桶/天，降至日均3219万桶，主要是因为阿联酋、委内瑞拉和伊拉克的产量下降。

然而欧佩克表示，2月份全球石油产量增加37万桶/天，达到9820万桶/天，主要是受到美国页岩油产量大幅增加的刺激。

相应地，欧佩克将2018年非欧佩克石油产量预期在上月的基础上上调28万桶/天，达到5953万桶/天，其中美国是主要的驱动力。

欧佩克表示，当前该组织预计今年美国页岩油产量将达到572万桶/天，比上月的预测上调13万桶/天。

唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

OPEC Raises Global Supply Forecasts as U.S. Shale Surges

OPEC said Wednesday its crude output fell last month, even as the world's total oil supply continued to grow, forcing the oil-cartel to revise upward its forecast for U.S. shale production for the full year.

In its closely watched monthly oil market report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said the group's total crude output declined by 77,000 barrels a day in February, month-on-month, to average 32.19 million barrels a day, mainly a result of lower output in the United Arab Emirates, Venezuela and Iraq.

However, total global oil supply climbed by 370,000 barrels a day last month, to average 98.2 million barrels a day, boosted by burgeoning U.S. shale oil output, OPEC said.

Accordingly, the cartel raised its expectations for non-OPEC supply from last month for 2018 by 280,000 barrels a day, to 59.53 million barrels a day, with the U.S. as the main driver of growth.

OPEC said it now expects U.S. shale production to average 5.72 million barrels a day in 2018, a month-on-month upward revision of 130,000 barrels a day.