国际投行连续第六个月上调油价预期

中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯伦敦4月2日消息，3月份国际投行们连续第六个月上调油价预期，这表明投行们预计，随着原油库存下降以及全球供应面临的地缘政治风险上升，未来几个月原油市场供求状况将更趋平衡。

据3月底《华尔街日报》对15家投行所作的调查显示，投行们对今年全球基准布伦特原油价格的平均预测为每桶63美元，对美国基准西得州中质油（WTI）价格的平均预测接近每桶59美元，两者较2月份时的预期都提高了约1美元。

接受《华尔街日报》调查的投行们预计，明年布伦特原油价格将跌至每桶61美元左右，到2020年将回升至接近每桶62美元的水平。

张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

DJ Banks Forecast Gains for Crude Oil

Banks raised their forecasts for oil prices for the sixth month in a row in March, in a sign they expect draining crude inventories and rising geopolitical risks to global supply to further balance the market in the coming months.

Brent crude -- the global benchmark -- is now expected to average $63 a barrel this year, while West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. standard, should average close to $59 a barrel, according to a poll of 15 investment banks surveyed by The Wall Street Journal toward the end of March. Both estimates are about $1 higher than the February survey's forecast.

The banks in the Journal survey predict that, on average, Brent will fall to around $61 a barrel next year, before averaging close to $62 a barrel by 2020.