2030年天然气将取代煤炭成为世界第二大能源

中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社11月13日伦敦消息称，国际能源署（IEA）周二说，由于推动减少空气污染和液化天然气（LNG）使用的增加，预计到2030年，天然气将取代煤炭成为仅次于石油的全球第二大能源。

总部位于巴黎的国际能源机构在其2018年《世界能源展望》中表示，假设能源使用效率提高，能源需求将在2017年至2040年期间增长超过四分之一，但如果没有这些改善，需求将增加两倍。

报告表示，到2040年，全球天然气需求将以每年1.6％的速度增长，届时将比现在高出45％。

这些估算是根据IEA的“新政策情景”得出，其中考虑了减少排放和应对气候变化的立法和政策。他们还假设在燃料使用、建筑和其他因素上有更高的能源效率。

报告称：“天然气是新政策背景下增长最快的化石燃料，到2030年超过煤炭成为继石油之后的第二大能源。”

IEA报告称，亚洲新兴经济体将占全球天然气需求增长总量的一半左右，到2040年，它们在液化天然气进口中的份额将翻倍至60％。

报告称：“尽管有关全球天然气市场与石油市场类似的说法为时尚早，但液化天然气贸易量自2010年以来已大幅增加，并已触及此前未曾接触的市场。” LNG需要将气体冷却成液体，因此可以通过船只运输。

陈菲 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

Gas to overtake coal as world's second largest energy source by 2030: IEA

Natural gas is expected to overtake coal as the world’s second largest energy source after oil by 2030 due to a drive to cut air pollution and the rise in liquefied natural gas (LNG) use, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.

The Paris-based IEA said in its World Energy Outlook 2018 that energy demand would grow by more than a quarter between 2017 and 2040 assuming more efficient use of energy - but would rise by twice that much without such improvements.

Global gas demand would increase by 1.6 percent a year to 2040 and would be 45 percent higher by then than today, it said.

The estimates are based on the IEA’s “New Policies Scenario” that takes into account legislation and policies to reduce emissions and fight climate change. They also assume more energy efficiencies in fuel use, buildings and other factors.

“Natural gas is the fastest growing fossil fuel in the New Policies Scenario, overtaking coal by 2030 to become the second-largest source of energy after oil,” the report said.

Emerging economies in Asia would account for about half of total global gas demand growth and their share of LNG imports would double to 60 percent by 2040, the IEA report said.

“Although talk of a global gas market similar to that of oil is premature, LNG trade has expanded substantially in volume since 2010 and has reached previously isolated markets,” it said. LNG involves cooling gas to a liquid so it can transported by ship.