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| 2018-11-20 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社11月19日伦敦消息称，由于最大出口国沙特阿拉伯将在今年年底前推动欧佩克和俄罗斯削减供应，油价周一连续第四个交易日上涨。 格林威治标准时间1000布伦特原油期货上涨24美分至每桶67.00美元，而美国期货上涨38美分至56.84美元。 印度能源咨询公司Trifecta的主管Sukrit Vijayakar说：“油价继续回升......因为市场将密切关注供应削减可能产生的影响。” 以沙特阿拉伯为首的欧佩克正在推动该组织及其合作伙伴每天减产100万桶至140万桶，以防止未使用的燃料积聚。 PVM Oil Associates策略师Tamas Varga表示：“市场似乎认为减产是理所当然的。我们将在12月6日的下一次欧佩克会议之后看到它是否正确。在此之前预测稳定价格并非不合理。” 俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大诺瓦克周一表示，非欧佩克成员国的俄罗斯计划与欧佩克签署合作协议，具体在12月6日于维也纳举行的欧佩克会议上讨论。 尽管周一油价有所上涨，但布伦特原油价格仍较2018年10月初86.74美元的峰值低了近25%，因有迹象显示需求放缓，美国、俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯的产量触及历史新高。 本月，基金经理将原油期货和期权的看涨风险降至2017年年中以来以来的最低水平。 Weekly交易所数据显示，基基金经理持有的净多头头寸总计约为3.64亿桶美国和布兰特原油期货和期权，低于两个月前的逾8亿桶。 ActivTrades首席分析师Carlo Alberto De Casa表示：“因投资者不再相信原油供应紧张的风险，主要趋势依然看跌。” 陈菲 摘译自 路透社 原文如下： Oil rises for a fourth day, buoyed by OPEC supply plans Oil rose for a fourth session in a row on Monday, buoyed by the prospect that top exporter Saudi Arabia will push OPEC and maybe Russia to cut supply towards the end of this year. Brent crude futures were up 24 cents at $67.00 a barrel by 1000 GMT, while U.S. futures rose 38 cents to $56.84. “Oil prices continued to recover ... (as) the market will be watching closely for the possible impact of a (supply) cut,” said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of Indian energy consultancy Trifecta. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, led by Saudi Arabia, is pushing for the group and its partners to reduce output by 1 million to 1.4 million barrels per day to prevent a build-up of unused fuel. “It appears that the market takes a production cut for granted. We’ll see if it is right after the next OPEC meeting on December 6. It is not unreasonable to anticipate stable prices until then,” PVM Oil Associates strategist Tamas Varga said. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that Russia, which is not an OPEC member, planned to sign a partnership agreement with the group, and that details would be discussed at OPEC’s Dec. 6 meeting in Vienna. Despite Monday’s gains, Brent is almost 25 percent below early October’s 2018 peak of $86.74, as evidence of slowing demand has materialised and output from the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia hit historic highs. Fund managers cut their bullish exposure to crude futures and options to the lowest since around mid-2017 this month. Weekly exchange data shows money managers hold a combined net long position equivalent to around 364 million barrels of U.S. and Brent crude futures and options, down from over 800 million barrels two months ago. “The main trend remains bearish as investors no longer believe in a risk of supply tightness for crude,” ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa said. |
