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| 2018-11-22 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据ICIS网11月21日消息 纽约商品交易所WTI原油期货在2019年1月的第一个交易日大幅下跌，这主要是由于全球股市抛售引发的大规模清算。 星期二，1月份的WTI合约结算价为53.43美元/桶，下跌3.77美元。 投资者们担心由于美国和中国征收关税以及美国减税政策使得财政刺激逐渐减弱，导致经济和收入增长放缓，从而引发了一轮疯狂的抛售。 美元的强势严重影响了购买石油的货币购买力，同时也增长了悲观情绪。 随着全球能源需求放缓，美国石油产量的增加预计将超过欧佩克/非欧佩克石油部长12月6日在奥地利维也纳会议上达成的减产协议。 OPEC和国际能源机构(IEA)等不同机构的月度报告预计，在未能像美国给予8个国家豁免和豁免后预期的那样从市场撤出石油之后，2019年石油供应很可能出现过剩。 美国石油研究所和能源信息管理局（EIA）预计美国原油库存将连续第九周出现增长。 下跌的势头必将冲破技术支撑壁垒，从而导致销售停止，同时将扩大损失。 尽管这是短暂的假期周，是低成交量期，但预计合同量将超过每日平均水平。 美国基准能源公司西德克萨斯中质石油股价下跌至日内低点52.77美元/桶，在试图反弹前下跌4.43美元。月份间的价差或者前后的疲弱仍在持续，这也证实了供给过剩的状况将一直持续到2019年6月。 1月份ICE布伦特原油价格跌至最低点每桶61.71美元，触底反弹后在每桶62.53美元，下跌4.26美元，但随后继续走低，寻找更低点。 王磊 摘译自 ICIS 原文如下： NYMEX WTI crude futures fell sharply on the first session for January 2019 delivery, in response to a massive round of length liquidation driven by a sell-off in global stock markets. On Tuesday, the January WTI contract settled at $53.43/bbl, down $3.77. Investors worrying about slowing economic and earnings growth as a result of the US-China imposition of tariffs and to the fading fiscal stimulus from tax cuts in the US triggered an aggressive round of selling. A strong dollar, which erodes purchasing power in currencies used to pay for oil purchases, also contributed to the bearish mood. Rising oil production in the US against slowing global energy demand is expected to outpace any production cuts to be agreed by OPEC/non-OPEC oil ministers gathering in Vienna, Austria on 6 December. Monthly reports from various agencies such as OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) have projected a potential supply glut for 2019 after Iran’s sanctions failed to remove as much oil as expected from the market after the US granted exceptions and waivers to eight countries. US crude oil inventories from the American Petroleum Institute and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) are forecast to show a build for the ninth consecutive week. Downside momentum penetrated technical support barriers, triggering sell stops and extending the losses. Contracts volume was expected to exceed the daily average despite this being a short holiday week, a normally low-volume period. The feeding frenzy across the energy complex drove West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark, down to hit an intra-day low of $52.77/bbl, down $4.43 before attempting to rebound. Inter-month spreads remained in contango, or front-to-back weakness, which validates oversupply conditions until June 2019. January ICE Brent bottomed out at $61.71/bbl, and settled at $62.53/bbl, down $4.26, but also continued to work lower in search of a bottom afterwards.
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