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| 2018-11-26 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯 亚洲原油期货周四上午交易时段走低，美国每周库存数据显示看跌和看涨的情况共存，市场关注焦点仍在欧佩克/非欧佩克在十二月召开的会议上。 在新加坡时间上午10:15（格林威治时间 02:15），洲际交易所一月布伦特原油期货从星期三的结算价63.30美元/桶，下跌18美分（0.28%），而纽约商品交易所一月轻质低硫原油合约则每桶下跌17美分（0.31%），为54.46美元/桶。 美国能源信息管理局（EIA）星期三公布的数据显示，截至11月16日的一周，美国原油库存上涨485万桶，达到44691万桶。这标志着连续九周的增长，该增长量也超过了分析师对280万桶的预期。 法国兴业银行分析师在一份报告中表示：“由于原油库存增加，原油价格连续第九周被看低。” 数据显示，美国炼油厂的利用率在本周上升了2.6个百分点，达到九周来的最高水平，可以达到92.7%的产能。炼油利用率从10月中旬的88.8%反弹，目前与去年同期持平。 分析师表示，尽管美国原油库存数据是被看跌的,但伴随而来的石油产品数据为油价提供了保障。 EIA数据显示，美国汽油库存本周下跌130万桶，为22532万桶，而美国馏分油库存则下跌77000桶，为11919万桶。 澳新银行分析师在一份报告中表示：“尽管美国上周的库存增加了485万桶，但汽油和馏分油库存的下降一定程度上恢复了市场的情绪。” 大华银行分析师在一份报告中表示：“在美国政府数据显示对精炼燃料的强劲需求之后，油价从数月来最低点开始回升,但全球原油供应增长仍令人担忧." 与此同时，普氏能源全球贸易流业务的临时数据显示，11月上半月从沙特阿拉伯发运的原油日产量高达780万桶，高于10月份的756万桶。 沙特阿拉伯本月早些时候向利雅得的联合组织数据倡议提交的自我报告中称其9月份原油出口平均为743万桶/日。 这是12月6日在维也纳召开的欧佩克/非欧佩克会议的一个开端，在那次会议上，生产国将讨论是否削减原油产量。 德国商业银行分析师在报告中表示：“2014年底，正是欧佩克决定不减产引发了油价下滑，因此不太可能用两个星期的时间在欧佩克的会议上重复这样的决定，可能同意减产至少100万桶/日,一些非欧佩克成员国也可能会签约。” 他们补充说：“我们认为石油市场处于夸大阶段，预计最迟在OPEC会议之后油价将显著回升。” 截止格林威治时间 02:15时，美国美元指数下跌0.01%，为96.565。 王磊 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning trade in Asia Thursday amid a mix of bullish and bearish indicators in weekly US inventory data as market focus remains on the OPEC/non-OPEC meet in December. At 10:15 am Singapore time (0215 GMT), ICE January Brent crude futures were down 18 cents/b (0.28%) from Wednesday's settle at $63.30/b, while NYMEX January light sweet crude contract was 17 cents/b (0.31%) lower at $54.46/b. US crude stocks rose 4.85 million barrels to 446.91 million barrels in the week ended November 16, US Energy information Administration data released Wednesday showed. The build marks the ninth straight week of increase and exceeded analyst expectations of a 2.8 million-barrel build. "For the ninth consecutive week, crude oil was bearish due to a stock build," Societe Generale analysts said in a note. US refinery utilization rose 2.6 percentage points in the week to a nine-week high of 92.7% of capacity, the data showed. Refinery utilization has rebounded from 88.8% in mid-October to be currently in line with year-ago levels. While the data on US crude stocks was bearish, the accompanying oil products data provided a floor to prices, analysts said. US gasoline stocks fell 1.3 million barrels in the week to 225.32 million barrels, while US distillate stocks fell 77,000 barrels to 119.19 million barrels, the EIA data showed. "Despite US inventories rising by 4.85 million barrels last week, the drop in stockpiles of gasoline and distillate helped support sentiment in the market," ANZ analysts said in a note. "Oil prices recovered from the lowest levels in months after US government data showed strong demand for refined fuel, but concerns remained over rising global crude supply," UOB analysts said in a note. Meanwhile, provisional data from S&P Global Platts trade flow service cFlow showed crude shipments from Saudi Arabia in the first half of November were as high as 7.80 million b/d, up from 7.56 million b/d in October. Saudi Arabia self-reported to the Riyadh-based Joint Organizations Data Initiative earlier this month that its September crude exports averaged 7.43 million b/d. This comes in the leadup to the OPEC/non-OPEC meeting in Vienna December 6 where producer countries will debate whether to cut crude production. "At the end of 2014, it was OPEC's decision not to cut production that sparked the price slide. This is unlikely to be repeated at OPEC's meeting in a good two weeks' time. A production cut of at least 1 million b/d will probably be agreed there, with a number of non-OPEC countries also likely to sign up," Commezbank analysts said in a note. "We see the oil market as being in a phase of exaggeration and expect a noticeable price recovery after the OPEC meeting at the latest," they added. As of 0215 GMT, the US Dollar Index was down 0.01% at 96.565.
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