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| 2018-12-13 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社新加坡12月12日消息，由于股市反弹以及市场预期欧佩克主导的2019年减产将稳定供需平衡，周三油价上涨约1％。 格林威治时间0742，国际布伦特原油期货LCOc1报每桶60.84美元，较上次收盘价上涨64美分，涨幅1.1％。 美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货CLc1报每桶52.06美元，上涨41美分，涨幅0.8％。 周三，亚洲股市上涨，价格走高。 尽管周二市场信心增强，但分析师警告称，经济可能放缓。 经济学人智库最新报告称：“随着利率上升和通胀开始限制主要发达经济体的消费，全球经济将在2019 - 2020年降温，市场的不确定性削弱了新兴市场的基本面。” 英国巴克莱银行在其2019年大宗商品展望中表示：“近期前景面临的主要风险，与经济活动的恶化速度快于预期有关。” 在石油市场基本面上，欧佩克和包括俄罗斯在内的一些非欧佩克产油国上周减产120万桶/日的决定，支撑了本周油价。 澳新银行周三表示:“欧佩克的减产将稳定市场。” 自10月初宣布减产以来，原油价格已下跌三分之一。不过，一些分析人士警告称，该协议可能不会达到人们希望的效果。 能源咨询公司FGE的Fereidun Fesharaki在一份报告中表示，欧佩克主导的减产可能“不足以在2019年第一季度结束前的3个月目标期内消化库存”。 因此，FGE表示布伦特原油价格可能徘徊在每桶55美元至60美元之间，鉴于目前的基本面因素，西德克萨斯中质原油的价格可能低于这一水平5至10美元”。 美国原油产量达到创纪录的1170万桶/日，这削弱了供应削减的影响。 美国能源信息管理局((EIA))周二表示，美国全年年均石油产量将达到1088万桶/日。美国将在2018年底超越俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯，成为全球最大的石油生产国。 EIA表示，美国2018年的日产量增幅将达到153万桶，并预计2019年的平均日产量将达到史无前例的1206万桶。 陈菲 摘译自 路透社 原文如下： Oil prices climb on OPEC-led supply cuts, Asian stock rally Oil prices rose by around 1 percent on Wednesday amid a stock market rebound and on expectations that an OPEC-led output cut for 2019 would stabilize the supply-demand balance. International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were at $60.84 per barrel at 0742 GMT, up 64 cents, or 1.1 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $52.06 per barrel, up 41 cents, or 0.8 percent. The higher prices came amid an increase in Asian share markets on Wednesday. Despite Tuesday’s more confident market, analysts warned of an economic slowdown. “The global economy is set to cool in 2019-20, as rising interest rates and inflation begin to limit consumption in major developed economies, and market uncertainty weakens the fundamentals in emerging markets,” the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) said in its latest outlook. British bank Barclays said in its 2019 commodities outlook that “the major risk to the near-term outlook relates to a faster-than-expected deterioration in economic activity”. In oil market fundamentals, a decision by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-OPEC producers including Russia last week to cut supply by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) has supported prices this week. “OPEC production curbs will stabilize the market,” ANZ bank said on Wednesday. Crude prices had lost a third of their value between early October and the announcement of the cuts. Some analysts warn, though, that the agreement may not have the effect hoped for. Fereidun Fesharaki of energy consultancy FGE said in a note that the OPEC-led cuts would likely be “insufficient to mop up the inventories in the targeted three-month period till the end of the first quarter of 2019”. As a result, FGE said prices were “likely to hover in the $55-$60 per barrel range for Brent, with WTI sitting some $5-$10 per barrel below this given current fundamentals”. Undermining the supply cuts is soaring output in the United States, where crude production C-OUT-T-EIA has hit a record 11.7 million bpd. The United States is set to end 2018 as the world’s top oil producer, ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia, with the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) saying on Tuesday the nation’s annualized average output would be 10.88 million bpd for the full year. The 2018 output increase would be 1.53 million bpd, the EIA said, adding that it expected production to average an unprecedented 12.06 million bpd in 2019. |
