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| 2018-12-20 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源12月19日消息 周二需求小幅上升，推动纽约商品交易所1月份天然气期货合约，并在连续5天下滑后，周二余下冬季开始反弹。 纽约商品交易所1月份的合同结算价为3.838美元/百万英热，较周一收盘价3.528美元/百万英热上涨31美分。 周一成交价为11月2日以来最低，收于3.31美元/百万英热。 其他的冬季月度合约也遵循同样的趋势，2月份上涨28.90美分至3.742美元/百万英热，3月份上涨25美分至3.558美元/百万英热。 冬季合同的下跌在上周早些时候开始。 12月10日，1月结算价为4.545美元/百万英热，但从12月11日开始，即期交易月收于4.407美元/百万英热。从那时起，一直到周一，前一个月以3.528美元/百万英热收盘。 总的来说，1月份的期货在五个交易日内下跌了1.017美元。 经过11月的寒冷，12月份的需求低于预期。据标普氏能源的数据，截至本月迄今，美国平均消费量为为941亿立方英尺/日，但过去六天需求平均为865.5亿立方英尺/日。 周二的预期需求为923亿立方英尺，但预计未来两周消费将下滑，未来七天平均为889亿立方英尺/日，之后一周为893亿立方英尺/日。 需求下降的根源在于，预计未来两周东北部和中西部上部主要需求地区的气温将高于正常水平，加上假期季节的影响。 12月份需求回暖，使得库存一直处于低位。 总的来说，12月份的平均调用库存量为142亿立方英尺/日。去年同期，平均调用库存量为169立方英尺/日。 一位分析师周二表示：“由于气温变暖，今年冬天对天然气储量短缺的担忧有所缓解。” 纽约商品交易所的结算价格被认为是初步的，并且容易发生变化，直到最终的结算价格在美国东部时间下午7点（格林威治时间23:00）公布。 王磊 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： A slight rise in demand Tuesday provided impetus for the NYMEX January natural gas futures contract and the rest of the winter to rebound Tuesday after five straight days of exploring the downside. The NYMEX January contract settled at $3.838/MMBtu, up 31 cents from Monday's close of $3.528/MMBtu. Monday's settle was the lowest for a front-month contract since November 2 at a $3.31/MMBtu close. Other monthly contracts for the balance of the winter followed the same path, with February increasing 28.90 cents to $3.742/MMBtu and March increasing 25 cents to $3.558/MMBtu. The fall of the winter contracts began early last week. On December 10, January settled at $4.545/MMBtu, but the decline started December 11 as the prompt-month closed that session at $4.407/MMBtu. From there, it was a freefall until Monday, when the front-month ended the day at $3.528/MMBtu. All told, January slipped $1.017 over the five trading days. After a cold November, December demand has been lower than expected. So far this month, US consumption has averaged 94.1 Bcf/d, but over the last six days demand has averaged 86.55 Bcf/d, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics. The outlook for Tuesday saw demand at 92.3 Bcf, but consumption is forecast to decline for the next two weeks, averaging 88.9 Bcf/d for the next seven days and then 89.3 Bcf/d the week after. The decline in demand is rooted in a forecast calling for higher-than-normal temperatures in major demand areas of the Northeast and Upper Midwest for the next two weeks plus the impact of the holiday season. The tempering of demand so far in December has kept withdrawals from storage on the low side. Overall, December draws have averaged 14.2 Bcf/d. In the year-ago period, withdrawals averaged 16.9 Bcf/d. "Natural gas is getting crushed as warm temperatures are easing fears of a storage shortage this winter," one analyst said Tuesday. The NYMEX settlement price is considered preliminary and subject to change until a final settlement price is posted at 7 pm EST (2300 GMT).
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