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| 2019-04-19 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据美国彭博新闻社2019年4月16日报道，石油输出国组织(欧佩克)通过减产已成功地提振了油价，但现在欧佩克却冒着再次浪费胜利的风险任由原油价格飙升得过高。 今年第一季度，欧佩克及其盟友联手减产，推动油价创下了近十年来的最大涨幅，恢复到了每桶70美元以上。 欧佩克中最强大的成员国沙特阿拉伯已明确表示，沙特阿拉伯决心保持全球石油市场供应紧张。沙特阿拉伯此举有可能重演2018年的一幕，当时减产推动油价飙升到了4年来的高点，引发了美国总统特朗普的强烈反对，沙特阿拉伯也匆忙做出了逆转。 花旗集团大宗商品研究主管艾德·莫尔斯在纽约说：“看来欧佩克正在过度收紧市场。” 今年初，欧佩克及其合作伙伴启动了新一轮减产计划，当时美国页岩油产量的迅速增长和全球需求的脆弱增长似乎将导致全球石油供应过剩。但由于欧佩克实施了限产措施，加之地缘政治进一步挤压了石油供应，现在全球石油短缺的风险变得更大。 李峻 编译自 彭博社 原文如下： OPEC's Production Cuts Success At Risk with $80 Oil After managing to revive oil prices through production cutbacks, OPEC now risks squandering its victory again by letting crude surge too high. In the first quarter, coordinated production curbs by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies helped oil rally the most in almost a decade, restoring prices to over $70 a barrel. Saudi Arabia, the group’s most powerful member, has made clear that it’s determined to keep supplies tight. That risks a repeat of 2018, when production cuts propelled oil to a four-year high, provoking a backlash from President Donald Trump and a hasty reversal by the kingdom. “It appears that the producer group is over-tightening the market,” said Ed Morse, head of commodities research at Citigroup Inc. in New York. OPEC and its partners launched a new round of output cuts at the beginning of the year when it looked like booming U.S. shale-oil production and fragile global demand growth would lead to a supply surplus. But as the group implements the curbs, and as supplies are squeezed further by Geopolitics, there’s now a greater risk of a shortage.
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