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| 2019-05-09 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社5月8日纽约报道，美国能源情报署(EIA)周二表示，2019年美国原油日产量预计将增加149万桶，至平均1245万桶，高于此前预计的143万桶。 EIA预测，2020年石油日产量将增加93万桶，至1338万桶，增幅高于此前的预测。 最新预测显示，美国有望在2019年第四季度达到每日1300万桶的里程碑。 得益于页岩气革命，美国已经超过沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯，成为世界上最大的石油生产国。 美国能源情报署署长琳达·卡普阿诺(Linda Capuano)在一封电子邮件中表示:“根据5月份的展望，美国能源情报署仍然预计，美国从2019年第四季度开始出口的石油和其他液体将超过进口，在可预见的未来仍将继续。” 卡普阿诺说:“成为石油和其他液体净出口国的转变，标志着美国自1948年以来的第一次转变。” 不过，近几个月来产量有所放缓，因第四季油价暴跌迫使美国生产商削减支出并削减钻探计划。 即便如此，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等大型石油公司仍在德州二叠纪盆地和美国最大页岩油产区新墨西哥州进行扩张。 金融服务公司Cowen & Co称，主要石油公司计划2019年在美国钻井和完井项目上的支出较去年增加约16%，而独立生产商预计2019年的支出将减少约11%。 美国能源情报署预测，2019年美国石油需求将增加25万桶/天，至2,070万桶/天，低于此前预测的36万桶/天。IEA还预计，美国石油需求将在2020年增加28万桶/日，至2,098万桶/日，高于此前预估的25万桶/日增长。 尹路 编译自 路透社 原文如下： EIA raises forecast for 2019, 2020 U.S. crude output growth U.S. crude oil production is expected to rise by 1.49 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019 to average 12.45 million bpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday, up from its previous forecast for a rise of 1.43 million bpd. The EIA forecast output in 2020 will rise by 930,000 bpd to 13.38 million bpd, a bigger increase than it previously estimated. The latest forecast puts the United States on track to reach the 13-million-bpd milestone in the fourth quarter of 2019. The United States has overtaken Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the world’s biggest oil producer, thanks to a shale revolution. “According to the May outlook, EIA still expects that the United States will begin exporting more petroleum and other liquids than it imports in the fourth quarter of 2019, continuing for the foreseeable future,” EIA Administrator Linda Capuano said in an email. “The shift toward becoming a net petroleum and other liquids exporter marks a first for the United States since 1948,” Capuano said. Still, production has slowed in recent months as a price crash in the fourth quarter forced U.S. producers to curb spending and cut back on drilling plans. Even so, majors Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp are expanding in the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico, the biggest U.S. shale oil producing region. Major oil companies plan to spend about 16 percent more in 2019 than they did last year on U.S. drilling and completions, while independent producers expect to spend about 11 percent less in 2019, financial services firm Cowen & Co said. For 2019, the EIA forecast U.S. oil demand to rise by 250,000 bpd to 20.70 million bpd, down from 360,000 bpd in its previous estimate. The agency also estimates U.S. oil demand will rise by 280,000 bpd to 20.98 million bpd in 2020, up from a previous forecast of a 250,000 bpd increase.
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