俄罗斯LNG产量到2035年将增加5倍

中国石化新闻网讯 据Neftegaz.RU莫斯科6月14日消息称，到2035年，俄罗斯计划将液化天然气(LNG)产量提高约5倍。

A. Novak的报告提到：

到2035年，俄罗斯计划将LNG产量提高到1.2-1.4亿吨；目前，这个数字约为2800万吨；俄罗斯打算将其在全球液化天然气市场的份额提高到20%左右；俄罗斯完全有潜力做到这一点，包括必要的资源和竞争力；俄罗斯在北极只有74万亿立方米的天然气储量，还有许多未勘探的矿藏；俄罗斯计划向亚太地区国家提供70%的液化天然气。

俄罗斯正迅速试图在前景广阔的全球液化天然气市场中占据一席之地，而这个市场才刚刚形成。然而，目前俄罗斯联邦的市场份额远远低于竞争对手，到2017年底，俄罗斯联邦的市场份额仅为4%左右。同时，2018年俄罗斯天然气产量占世界天然气总产量的18.5%。

2017年，俄罗斯液化天然气出口160亿立方米，占俄罗斯天然气出口总额的6.5%。2018年，液化天然气总产量增长1.7倍，达到269亿立方米。随着亚马尔液化天然气第二、三条生产线的投产，亚马尔液化天然气总产能达到1650万吨/年，俄罗斯境内液化天然气总产能达到2700万吨/年。早在2019年4月，A. Novak估计在截至2035年的这段时间里，俄罗斯的液化天然气产能将达到1亿吨至1.2亿吨。

2018年10月，俄罗斯重新考虑在什托克曼气田建设一座液化天然气工厂。国际能源机构虽然不像A. Novak那样乐观，但也普遍看好俄罗斯联邦到2040年在全球液化天然气市场上的前景。根据该机构的预测，到这个时候，俄罗斯的液化天然气出口将增加600亿立方米。

曹海斌 摘译自 Neftegaz.RU

原文如下：

Russia will increase LNG production by 5 times by 2035

Moscow, Neftegaz.RU. By 2035, Russia intends to increase the production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) by about 5 times.

Theses of A. Novak : by 2035, Russia plans to increase LNG production to 120-140 million tons; currently, this figure is about 28 million tons; Russia intends to increase its share in the global LNG market to about 20%;we have all the potential for this, including the necessary resources and competitive power; Russia has only 74 trillion m 3 of natural gas reserves in the Arctic , there are also many unexplored deposits; Russia plans to supply up to 70% of the produced LNG to countries in the Asia-Pacific region (APR).

Russia is rapidly trying to take its place in the promising global LNG market while it is just being formed. However, at the moment the Russian Federation is much inferior to its competitors, having occupied only about 4% of the market by the end of 2017. At the same time, in 2018, production in the Russian Federation accounted for 18.5% of the total world natural gas production.

In 2017, LNG exports from Russia amounted to 16 billion m 3, which corresponds to 6.5% in total exports of natural gas from Russia. In 2018, gross LNG production increased by 1.7 times, reaching 26.9 billion m 3. With the advanced launch of the 2nd and 3rd production lines of the Yamal LNG plant, the total capacity of the plant reached 16.5 million tons / year of LNG, and the total capacity of LNG plants in the Russian Federation was 27 million tons / year. Earlier, in April 2019, A. Novak estimated Russia's capabilities for LNG production in the period up to 2035 in the amount of 100-120 million tons. Recall that in October 2018 , Russia returned to the idea of building an LNG plant based on the Shtokman field. The IEA, although not as rosy as A. Novak, also generally appreciates the prospects of the Russian Federation on the global LNG market by 2040. According to the agency’s forecast, Russia can increase LNG exports by 60 billion m 3 by this time.