中印将引领聚丙烯产能增长

中国石化新闻网讯 据离岸工程6月24日消息称，GlobalData表示，受亚洲和中东地区的带动，全球聚丙烯产能有望从2019年的8857万吨/年大幅增长34%，至2023年的1.1866亿吨/年。

该公司的报告《2023年全球聚丙烯工业展望-产能和资本支出预测》显示，未来四年计划投产的和宣布投产的聚丙烯工厂约有108家，主要分布在亚洲和中东。

亚洲聚丙烯产能预计将从2019年的5161万吨/年增长至2023年的6533万吨/年，年均增长5.9%。2023年，中国在该地区的产能将增加约1163万吨/年。新增的主要产能将来自中国石化武汉石化股份有限公司的武汉聚丙烯工厂2号，到2023年产能将达到110万吨/年。

GlobalData的石油和天然气分析师Dayanand Kharade表示：“由于城市化进程和收入水平不断提高，主要来自包装的聚丙烯需求增加，正在促进中国和印度的大规模产能增加。预计这两个国家将在展望期内占全球产能增加量的40％。”

GlobalData确定中东地区是聚丙烯产能增长第二高的地区，从2019年的922万吨/年到2023年的1480万吨/年，年均增长率为11.8%。新增的主要产能将来自一家已宣布的工厂，Jam聚丙烯公司的Assaluyeh聚丙烯工厂2，到2023年产能将达到55万吨/年。

到2023年，在所有国家中，俄罗斯将增加约253万吨/年的产能。

非洲将成为第四高的地区，其年复合增长率从2019年的149万吨增长到到2023年的415万吨。到2023年，埃及对非洲的贡献将达到133万吨左右，居非洲之首。新增的主要产能将来自塔里尔石化公司旗下Ain Sokhna聚丙烯工厂，该厂的产能到2023年将达到88万吨/年。

北美聚丙烯产能预计将以5%的年增长率增长，从2019年的897万吨/年增长到2023年的1095万吨/年。预计到2023年，美国将成为该地区产能增长最快的国家，新增产能将达到115万吨/年。

曹海斌 摘译自 离岸工程

原文如下：

Polypropylene capacity increases to be led by China and India

Global polypropylene capacity is poised to see a considerable growth of 34% from 88.57 million tpy in 2019 to 118.66 million tpy in 2023, led by Asia and the Middle East, says GlobalData.

The company’s report, ‘Global Polypropylene Industry Outlook to 2023 – Capacity and Capital Expenditure Forecasts with Details of All Active and Planned Plants’ reveals that around 108 planned and announced plants are scheduled to come online, predominantly in Asia and the Middle East, over the next four years.

Polypropylene capacity in Asia is expected to increase from 51.61 million tpy in 2019 to 65.33 million tpy in 2023, at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 5.9%. Among the countries in the region, China will add a capacity of around 11.63 million tpy by 2023. Major capacity addition will be from the active plant, Sinopec Wuhan Petrochemical Co.’s Wuhan Polypropylene Plant 2, with a capacity of 1.10 million tpy by 2023.

Dayanand Kharade, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, says: “Increasing polypropylene demand mainly from packaging, due to urbanisation and growing income levels, are contributing to large capacity additions in China and India. These two countries are forecast to account for 40% of the global capacity addition during the outlook period.”

GlobalData identifies the Middle East as the second highest region in terms of polypropylene capacity addition, growing at an AAGR of 11.8% from 9.22 million tpy in 2019 to 14.80 million tpy in 2023.  Major capacity addition will be from an announced plant, Jam Polypropylene Co.’s Assaluyeh Polypropylene Plant 2, with a capacity of 550 000 tpy by 2023.

Among countries, Russia will add around 2.53 million tpy capacity by 2023.

Africa will be the fourth highest region, growing at an AAGR of 25.6% from 1.49 million tpy in 2019 to 4.15 million tpy in 2023. Egypt will lead in Africa with contribution of around 1.33 million tpy by 2023. Major capacity addition will be from an announced plant, Tahrir Petrochemicals Co.’s Ain Sokhna Polypropylene Plant, with a capacity of 880 000 tpy by 2023.

Polypropylene capacity in North America is expected to grow at an AAGR of 5% from 8.97 million tpy in 2019 to 10.95 million tpy in 2023. The US is forecast to be the top country in the region with capacity additions of 1.15 million tpy by 2023.