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| 2019-07-02 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据海湾时报7月1日报道，沙特阿拉伯的经济正在经历石油减产带来的痛苦，而与此同时，该国正寻求在今年剩余时间甚至更长时间内，将欧佩克+减产协议延长到目前的产量水平。 沙特统计局表示，该国第一季度国内生产总值(gdp)同比增长1.7%，低于前三个月的3.6%。石油行业增长1%，而2018年第四季度为6%。 阿布扎比商业银行(Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank)首席经济学家莫尼卡预计欧佩克减产协议将导致经济减速，从第二季度开始，石油行业将出现收缩。 2016年，沙特阿拉伯结束了与俄罗斯多年的敌对情绪，并联合起来提振油价。就在欧佩克会议在维也纳召开的前几天，俄罗斯总统普京表示，他已经与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼达成协议，延长协议期限。 当谈到经济问题时，尽管穆罕默德王子通过一项名为“愿景2030”的全面计划努力减少对石油的依赖，但这个全球最大的原油出口国仍在为此付出代价。 彭博社(Bloomberg)调查的分析师预计，沙特经济今年将增长1.7%，而2018年的增幅为2.2%。 尽管如此，国内非石油经济的表现要好于石油经济，年增长率为2.1%。作为衡量经济健康状况的关键指标——私营部门的增长达到了2.3%。 马利克表示，沙特阿拉伯需要提高政府支出，或在投资项目上取得进展，才能显示出非石油领域的增长势头有所改善。 她表示:“这仍然是一个令人沮丧的低迷增长率，因为这很大程度上是财政状况的改善，而不是私营部门自身增长的迹象。” 埃及投资银行EFG-Hermes驻开罗的宏观经济分析主管穆罕默德•阿布•巴沙(Mohamed Abu Basha)表示，令人惊喜的是，经过多年的努力，建筑业出现了增长。 邹勤 摘译自 海湾时报 原文如下： Opec output curbs slash Saudi economic growth by more than half Saudi Arabia’s economy is feeling the sting of oil output cuts just as it looks to extend the Opec+ agreement at current production levels for the rest of this year and possibly beyond. Gross domestic product expanded an annual 1.7% in the first quarter, the kingdom’s statistics authority said yesterday, down from 3.6% in the previous three months. Growth in the oil sector stood at 1%, compared with 6% in the fourth quarter of 2018. “The deceleration was expected with the Opec production cut deal,” said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank. She predicts a contraction in the oil sector from the second quarter onward. Saudi Arabia ended years of animosity with Russia in 2016 and joined forces to prop up oil prices. Days before the Opec+ gathering in Vienna, Russian President Vladimir Putin said he’d struck a deal with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to extend the agreement. When it comes to the economy, the world’s largest crude exporter is paying the price despite efforts by Prince Mohammed to reduce reliance on oil through a sweeping plan dubbed “Vision 2030.” Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect the Saudi economy to expand 1.7% this year, compared with 2.2% in 2018. Still, the non-oil GDP fared better than the oil economy, with an annual gain of 2.1%. Growth in the private sector – a key measure of the economy’s health – reached 2.3%. To show any improved non-oil momentum, Saudi Arabia needs to raise government spending or make progress on the investment programme, according to Malik. “It’s still an uninspiring and subdued rate” that’s largely due to “an improvement in the fiscal backdrop, rather than signs of private sector growth by itself,” she said. One positive surprise was the increase in construction after years of struggling, said Mohamed Abu Basha, head of macroeconomic analysis at investment bank EFG-Hermes in Cairo.
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