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| 2019-08-07 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据俄罗斯油气网8月6日爱丁堡报道，英国著名能源咨询公司伍德麦肯兹（WM）在其最新的报告《能源转型展望》中称，到2040年前，煤炭、天然气和石油将占一次能源供应的85%左右。报告补充说，全球能源需求将从2018年的130亿吨油当量增加到2040年的160亿吨油当量。 WM预测了国际社会面临的挑战，声称如果没有更强有力和有效的行动，世界将错失实现可持续发展目标的机会。报告补充称：“目前全球气温上升趋势为3摄氏度，而不是2摄氏度。” WM市场和转型部门主管戴维·布朗说：“要达到2摄氏度的目标，到2040年前零碳能源需要占到总能源结构的40%，而不是报告中估计的15%。” 布朗补充称，在一些市场，这项政策正变得更加支持，但总的来说，能源密集的市场几乎没有取得进展，全球经济的每个部门都有自己的脱碳挑战需要应对。 WM的《能源转型展望》报告指出，碳定价、碳捕捉和储存方面的投资以及基于可再生的氢技术可能是朝着“2摄氏度路径”迈出的关键一步。 李峻 编译自 俄罗斯油气网 原文如下： WoodMac: Fossil fuels to contribute 85% of primary energy supply by 2040 Neftegaz.RU. UK-based consultancy firm, Wood Mackenzie, in its recent report said that coal, gas and oil will contribute about 85% of primary energy supply by 2040. The report ‘Energy Transition Outlook’ added that global energy demand would increase from 13 billion tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) in 2018 to 16 billion toe in 2040. Wood Mackenzie predicted challenges ahead for the world community claiming that the world will miss out on achieving the sustainability goals, without stronger and effective actions. “The world is presently on a 3 degree Celsius – not 2 degree Celsius – warming trajectory,” it added. David Brown, Head - markets and transitions, WoodMac, said, “To reach the 2 degree Celsius goal, zero-carbon energy needs to account for 40 % of the total energy mix by 2040, unlike just 15% estimated in the report.” Brown added that in some markets the policy was becoming more supportive but by and large, energy-dense markets have made little progress and each sector of the global economy has its own set of decarbonisation challenges to deal with. The report suggested that carbon pricing, investments in carbon capture and storage, and renewables-based hydrogen technologies could be crucial steps towards a ‘2 degree celsius pathway’.
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