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| 2019-08-14 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据Oil & Gas Journal网站8月12日报道 根据国际能源署（IEA）最新的石油市场报告，今年1-5月全球石油需求仅同比增长52万桶/天，是2008年以来的最慢增速。 今年上半年，许多大型经济体报告称，由于贸易和制造业产出下降，国内生产总值增长乏力。国际货币基金组织将其2019年和2020年的增长预期分别降低0.1%至3.2%和3.5%。 由于上半年石油需求增长缓慢和经济前景疲软，IEA将其2019年和2020年全球石油需求增长预测分别下调了10万桶/天和5万桶/天，分别降至110万桶/天和130万桶/天。 自2014年以来，经济合作与发展组织的需求连续三个季度下降。燃料油和石脑油已显示出大幅下降，原因是韩国和日本电力部门的交付量减少，对石化产品的需求减少。在2020年实施新的国际海事组织燃料质量规则的几个月前，该组织对燃料油的需求似乎已降至十多年来的最低水平。 美国6月和7月的初步数据显示，在高峰驾驶季节开始时，对汽车燃料尤其是汽油的需求同比下降。 吴恒磊 编译自 Oil & Gas Journal 原文如下： IEA: First-half global oil demand growth slowest since 2008 World oil demand increased by just 520,000 b/d year-over-year during January-May—the slowest pace for this period since 2008, according to the International Energy Agency’s latest Oil Market Report. In this year’s first half, many large economies reported weak gross domestic production growth linked to lower trade and manufacturing output.The International Monetary Fund reduced its growth estimates for 2019 and 2020 by 0.1 of a percent to 3.2% and 3.5%, respectively. Due to sluggish first-half oil demand growth and a weaker economic outlook, IEA lowered its global oil demand growth forecasts for 2019 and 2020 by 100,000 b/d and 50,000 b/d, to 1.1 million b/d and 1.3 million b/d, respectively. Demand of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has fallen for three quarters in a row for the first time since 2014. Fuel oil and naphtha have shown substantial drops because of lower deliveries to the power sector in South Korea and Japan and reduced demand for petrochemicals. Several months before the implementation in 2020 of the new International Maritime Organization rules for bunker fuel quality, OECD demand for fuel oil appears to have fallen to its weakest level in more than a decade. Preliminary data for the US for June and July shows lower year-over-year demand for motor fuels, particularly gasoline, at the start of the peak driving season.
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