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| 2019-08-19 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社8月16日纽约报道，因市场预期各国央行将出台进一步刺激措施，扶助缓解对经济衰退的担忧，油价周五从两日跌势中反弹，股市亦受油价上涨带动。 但由于经济增长放缓，欧佩克在2019年剩余时间的悲观前景下调了对全球石油需求的预测。欧佩克还强调了2020年面临的挑战，因为竞争对手加大了石油产量，从而有理由遵守欧佩克主导的一项限制石油供应的协议。 布伦特原油LCOc1收盘上涨41美分至每桶58.64美元，涨幅0.7%，周四和前一天分别下跌2.1%和3%。美国原油CLc1上涨40美分，收于每桶54.87美元，前一个交易日和周三分别下跌1.4%和3.3%。 在欧佩克公布月度报告前，布伦特原油触及59.50美元的盘中高位，美国原油交易价格为55.67美元，因投资者预期美联储将进一步降息，且欧洲央行将于下月采取行动对抗经济增长放缓。 由于投资者担心经济衰退和贸易关系紧张的风险，华尔街三大主要股指本周有望录得第三周的跌幅，但本周这两大原油基准指数在连续两周下跌后小幅上涨。 法国巴黎银行将2019年美国原油价格预期下调8至55美元/桶，布伦特原油价格预期下调9至62美元/桶，原因是贸易争端导致经济放缓。 受欧佩克及其盟友俄罗斯等国（欧佩克+）减产的推动，布伦特原油价格今年仍上涨了近10%。 今年7月，欧佩克+同意将石油产量削减延长至2020年3月，以提振油价。 一位沙特官员本月暗示，未来可能还会采取更多措施，称沙特承诺明年将“不惜一切代价”保持市场平衡。 对经济的担忧、美国原油库存的增加以及美国页岩油产量的增加，都削弱了欧佩克的努力。 通用电气贝克休斯能源服务公司表示，美国能源企业本周增加了石油钻井平台数量，这是七周来首次增加石油钻井平台的数量，也限制了油价周五的涨势。 过去8个月，作为未来产量早期指标的石油钻井平台数量有所下降，原因是独立勘探和生产企业削减了新钻井的支出，因为他们更关注盈利增长而不是增产。 裘寅 编译自 路透社 原文如下： Oil rises alongside equities, but downbeat OPEC outlook caps gains Oil prices on Friday rebounded from a two-day drop, alongside equities as expectations of further stimulus by central banks helped to ease recession concerns. But oil’s gains were capped after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries trimmed its global oil demand forecast in a downbeat outlook for the rest of 2019 as economic growth slows. The cartel also highlighted challenges in 2020 as rivals pump more, building a case to keep up an OPEC-led pact to restrain supplies. Brent crude LCOc1 was ended the session up 41 cents, or 0.7%, at $58.64 a barrel, after falling 2.1% on Thursday and 3% the previous day. U.S. crude CLc1 rose 40 cents to settle at $54.87 a barrel, having dropped 1.4% in the previous session and 3.3% on Wednesday. Before the OPEC monthly report, Brent touched a session high of $59.50 and U.S. crude traded at $55.67 as investors expect further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and moves by the European Central Bank next month to fight softening growth. For the week, both oil benchmarks eked out small gains after two consecutive weeks of losses, even as Wall Street’s three main indexes were on track to rack up their third weekly loss, as investors worried about the risk of recession and trade tensions. BNP Paribas cut its forecast for 2019 for U.S. crude by $8 to $55 per barrel and for Brent by $9 to $62 per barrel, citing slowing economy amid the trade dispute. The price of Brent is still up nearly 10% this year helped by supply cuts led by OPEC and its allies such as Russia, a group known as OPEC+. In July, OPEC+ agreed to extend oil output cuts until March 2020 to prop up prices. A Saudi official indicated this month that more steps may be coming, saying Saudi Arabia was committed to do “whatever it takes” to keep the market balanced next year. OPEC’s efforts have been undermined by worries about the economy , as well as rising U.S. stockpiles of crude and higher output of U.S. shale oil. Also capping oil’s gains on Friday, U.S. energy firms this week increased the number of oil rigs operating for the first time in seven weeks, General Electric Co’s (GE.N) Baker Hughes energy services firm said. The oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, has declined over the past eight months as independent exploration and production companies cut spending on new drilling as they focus more on earnings growth instead of increased output.
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