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| 2019-08-21 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯8月20日报道，由于对全球经济的担忧继续占据主导地位，原油期货周二上午交易时段基本持稳。 业内人士表示，市场参与者也在等待周二晚些时候公布的美国石油库存数据提供新的信息。 新加坡时间上午11点40分(格林威治时间03：40)，洲际交易所布伦特10月原油期货较周一结算价小幅下跌1美分(0.02%)，至59.73美元/桶，而纽约商品交易所9月轻质低硫原油期货合约下跌6美分(0.11%)，至56.15美元/桶。 Phillip Futures投资分析师Benjamin Lu表示，原油价格上涨，市场对经济刺激措施的乐观情绪日益升温，提振了疲弱的全球经济。对上周美国原油库存数据的乐观预期，也为今日上午的油价提供了一些支撑。 标普全球周一调查的分析师预计，在截至8月16日的一周内，美国商业原油库存将减少310万桶，至4.374亿桶左右。 分析师表示，炼油厂的利用率预计将上升0.2个百分点，至产能的95%，为全国原油供应提供了动力。尽管炼油厂的运营预计将出现好转，但上周成品油库存可能下降。分析师称，汽油库存将下降160万桶至2.322亿桶，馏分油预计减少约20万桶至1.353亿桶。 市场人士将密切关注API于周二公布的上周美国库存的初步数据，以及美国能源信息署(EIA)周三晚些时候公布的更确切数据。然而，分析人士表示，国际贸易紧张局势以及对全球需求和增长的担忧，这些不确定性因素，将继续推动原油价格上涨。有业内人士表示，经济基本面不稳，加上市场风险上升，限制了原油期货的上涨。 此外，根据联合组织Data Initiative的数据，沙特阿拉伯6月原油出口量降至22个月来的低点——672万桶/天，沙特官员表示，该国将原油日产量控制在700万桶以下，以帮助稳定油价。 JODI周一在其最新数据更新中称，沙特6月原油出口量较5月减少22.1万桶，尽管日产量增加了11.2万桶至978万桶。 欧佩克主导的减产虽然为油价提供了一个价格下限，但未能推动油价上涨。因为市场前景在未来一段时间将变得越来越黯淡。由于供应水平有望先于全球石油需求而波动，但因交易员有意对市场评估持悲观态度，油价仍将局限在区间范围内。 王佳晶 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Crude oil futures steady as markets await fresh cues Crude oil futures were largely steady during mid-morning trade in Asia Tuesday, after the more than $1/b surge overnight, as concerns over the global economy continue to take center stage, industry sources said. Market participants were also waiting for fresh cues from US oil inventory data to be released late Tuesday, industry sources said. At 11:40 am in Singapore (0340 GMT), ICE Brent October futures inched 1 cent/b (0.02%) lower from Monday's settle to $59.73/b, while the front-month NYMEX September light sweet crude futures contract ticked down 6 cents/b (0.11%) at $56.15/b. "Crude oil prices closed higher over growing market optimism on economic stimuli to boost flagging global growth," Phillip Futures' investment analyst Benjamin Lu said. Moreover, a bullish expectation on last week's US crude inventory data also provided some support to prices this morning, analysts said. US commercial crude inventories were expected to have declined by 3.1 million barrels to around 437.4 million barrels during the week ended August 16 according to analysts surveyed Monday by S&P Global Platts. Refinery utilization is expected to tick 0.2 percentage points higher to 95% of capacity, analysts said, contributing to the nationwide crude draw. Refined product inventories likely fell last week despite the expected uptick in refinery runs. Total gasoline stocks are expected to have fallen 1.6 million barrels at 232.2 million barrels, and distillate tanks are expected to draw about 200,000 barrels to 135.3 million barrels, analysts said. Market participants would be watching out for preliminary data on last week's US inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute due for release on Tuesday and the more definitive numbers from the US Energy information Administration later Wednesday. Prevailing uncertainty around the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China as well as concerns over global demand and growth however, continued to prove bullish for crude prices, analysts said. "Shaky economic fundamentals along with elevated market risks have limited bullish gains for crude oil futures," said Lu. Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia's crude exports fell to a 22-month low of 6.72 million b/d in June, according to the Joint Organizations Data Initiative, fulfilling pledges by kingdom officials to hold volumes below 7 million b/d to help stabilize oil prices. The kingdom's June crude exports mark a 221,000 b/d drop from May, JODI said Monday in its latest data update, and came despite a 112,000 b/d rise in production to 9.78 million b/d. "OPEC-led supply cuts though providing a price floor, has failed to spur oil prices forward as market outlook turns increasingly dim for the coming term. With supply levels looking poised to maneuver ahead of global oil demand, oil prices will remain confined within range-bound conditions as traders deliberate downbeat market assessments, "Lu added.
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