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| 2019-09-06 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据世界石油法兰克福彭博社报道，欧洲天然气价格将进一步跌破10年来的最低水平，因为供应商几乎没有显示出减少大量天然气供应的迹象。 库存比平常提前几周接近产能量，而且油船和管道的燃料也越来越多。尽管生产商减少了气田和加工厂的维修和维护流量，荷兰天然气的基准价格却难以从今年夏天早些时候每兆瓦小时10欧元(合11美元)以下的崩盘中恢复过来。 荷兰能源公司PXEM的高级贸易员Niek van kouteren表示，今年9月份，北欧的储气站将量满为患，这增加了价格进一步下跌的风险。在一定的价格下，生产商将被迫减少天然气的开采。但与此同时，像俄罗斯等大供应商“正在努力提高市场份额。 瑞士宝盛集团有限公司(Julius Baer Group Ltd.)经济学主管Norbert Ruecker称，欧洲价格回升的唯一途径是缩减从俄罗斯或挪威的流量，或停止更多液化天然气运抵。荷兰未来一个月的价格可能在秋季再下跌20%.“如果情况真的很糟，那么熊市的情况可能就更低了。” 俄罗斯能源巨头俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom PJSC)上周表示，今年对欧洲的出口量将降至1920亿立方米，比2018年的创纪录高位下降了4.5%。与去年记录相比，该公司的天然气平均价格预计也将下跌13%。 尽管如此，俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司似乎不太可能仅仅因为价格低而停止天然气的销售量。 俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)出口副部门主管米哈伊尔·马尔金(Mikhail Malgin)上周在与分析师举行的电话会议上表示。“市场份额本身并不是我们的目标，而是我们行动的结果”。 荷兰能源公司Eneco的高级天然气贸易商Ahmed Hammoudan表示，生产商要大幅减产，价格必须进一步下跌。 郝芬 译自 世界石油 原文如下： Natural gas glut grows in Europe as prices hit 10-year low Natural gas prices in Europe are set to fall further below their lowest in a decade as suppliers show few signs of scaling back abundant deliveries. Inventories are near capacity weeks earlier than usual and are being flooded with more fuel coming both from tankers and pipelines. While producers have reduced some flows with repairs and maintenance at gas fields and processing plants, the benchmark price for gas in the Netherlands is struggling to recover from a crash below 10 euros ($11) a megawatt-hour earlier this summer. “In September, gas storage sites in northern Europe will be full, increasing the risk of a further downside in prices,” said Niek van Kouteren, a senior trader at PZEM, a Dutch energy company. “Under a certain price, producers would be forced to extract less gas. But at the same time, big suppliers such as Russia” are trying to increase market share. The only way for European prices to recover would be to scale back flows from Russia or Norway or halt more arrivals of cargoes liquefied natural gas, said Norbert Ruecker, head of economics at Julius Baer Group Ltd. Dutch month-ahead prices may drop another 20% in the autumn, he said. “If things turn out really bad, maybe the bear case is even lower.” Russian energy giant Gazprom PJSC said last week that its exports to Europe will decline to 192 billion cubic meters this year, 4.5% lower than the record-high volumes in 2018. Its average gas price is also expected to fall 13% in comparison what it recorded last year. Nevertheless, Gazprom looks unlikely to turn off the taps just because of low prices. “When we have an opportunity, we make extra sales,” Mikhail Malgin, deputy department head at Gazprom Export, said on a conference call with analysts last week. “The market share per se is not our goal but rather a consequence of our actions” Prices would have to fall much further for producers to make significant output cuts, according to Ahmed Hammoudan, a senior gas trader at Dutch energy company Eneco.
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