IEA可能进一步下调石油需求预测

中国石化新闻网讯 据OGJ 网站10月2日报道，IEA执行董事法蒂赫·比罗尔周二在接受彭博社电视采访时透露，IEA可能进一步下调石油需求预测。

比罗尔在接受采访时告诉彭博社，如果全球经济继续走弱，我们很可能在未来几天或几个月内下调我们的需求数字。他补充道，如果有必要的话，我们会将其下调，但这仍将是全球石油需求的增长，但可能会略低于我们现在的水平。

比罗尔在采访中强调，IEA目前预计今年石油需求日增长约110万桶。

今年8月份，IEA将2019年石油日需求增长预测从120万桶下调至110万桶。IEA在6月将其2019年石油日需求增长预测从130万桶下调至120万桶，并在5月将2019年石油日需求增长预测从140万桶下调至130万桶。

美国能源信息署(EIA)在7月将其2019年石油日需求增长预期下调至110万桶。9月，EIA预测今年全球液体燃料日消费量将增加90万桶。

根据马来西亚国家石油公司（Petronas）的数据，缓慢的石油需求增长以及全球经济放缓，预计石油和天然气市场将在2019年下半年继续波动。

9月，EIA将2019年布伦特原油价格预期从每桶65.15美元下调至63.39美元。 同月，惠誉解决方案宏观研究公司还将其2019年布伦特原油价格预测从每桶67美元下调至每桶64美元。

郝芬 译自 OGJ

原文如下：

IEA May Further Cut Oil Demand Forecast

The IEA may further lower its oil demand forecast, IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol has revealed in a Bloomberg television interview published on Tuesday.

“We may well revise down our demand numbers in the next days or months to come if the global economy continues to weaken,” Birol told Bloomberg in the interview.

“If there is a need we will revise it down but it will be still a growth in the global oil demand but maybe slightly lower than what we have now,” he added.

In the interview, Birol highlighted that the IEA currently expects oil demand growth of around 1.1 million barrels per day (MMbpd) this year.

The IEA lowered its 2019 oil demand growth forecast from 1.2MMbpd to 1.1MMbpd in August. In June, the IEA cut its 2019 oil demand growth forecast from 1.3MMbpd to 1.2MMbpd and in May the organization lowered its 2019 oil demand growth forecast from 1.4MMbpd to 1.3MMbpd.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its 2019 oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 MMbpd in July. Last month, the EIA forecasted that global liquid fuels consumption will increase by 0.9 MMbpd this year.

According to Petronas, the oil and gas market is expected to continue to be volatile in the second half of 2019 amid protracted trade issues, sluggish oil demand growth.

In September, the EIA cut its 2019 Brent oil price forecast from $65.15 per barrel to $63.39 per barrel. During the same month, Fitch Solutions Macro Research also cut its 2019 Brent oil price forecast from $67 per barrel to $64 per barrel.