欧佩克预测未来五年美国石油供应将进一步减少

中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯11月5日消息，欧佩克周二表示，该机构报告预测未来五年内美国产量增加和需求放缓导致未来五年内其石油供应将持续下降，这表明在美国产量超过预期和石油需求疲软的情况下，欧佩克可能需要继续削减产量以稳定价格。

欧佩克及其盟友将在12月5日的会议上就是否将维持目前每天120万桶的减产计划或进一步减产展开讨论。

尽管在过去两年中已经进行了产量限制，但欧佩克的年度石油市场展望显示，到2025年其供应量将再减少160万桶/日。相比之下，欧佩克去年曾预测在此期间其石油日产量将增加50万桶。

欧佩克在报告中表示，下调其石油产量预期与通过水力压裂技术生产的美国新石油产量增长速度快于预期有关。

该报告称，美国致密油产量再次超出预期，中期内将每日增加670万桶。

欧佩克的生产计划也将受到石油需求增长放缓的影响，因为经济不确定性越来越大，各国政府也在实施旨在缓解气候变化的政策。

欧佩克表示，2024年全球石油需求增长将从2019年的每天110万桶降至90万桶。

唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

OPEC Report Forecasts Years of Oil Curbs As U.S. Production Grows, Demand Slows

OPEC said Tuesday it expects its oil supplies to fall continuously over the next five years, suggesting the cartel may need to keep cutting output to stabilize prices amid a bigger-than-expected U.S. production boom and sluggish oil demand.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies are set to debate whether they will maintain current production cuts of 1.2 million barrels a day or deepen the reductions at a meeting on Dec 5.

But despite extensive curbs in the past two years, the cartel's annual oil-market outlook says its supply will fall by another 1.6 million barrels a day by 2025. By contrast, OPEC had predicted last year its output would rise by 500,000 barrels a day during the period.

In the report, OPEC said the downgrade was tied to a faster-than-expected increase in new American oil produced through hydraulic fracking.

"U.S. tight oil has again outperformed expectations," the report said, saying it would increase by 6.7 million barrels a day in the medium term.

OPEC's production plans will also be impacted by slower growth in demand for oil amid mounting economic uncertainty and as governments implement policies designed to mitigate climate change.

Global growth in oil demand will decelerate from 1.1 million barrels a day in 2019 to 900,000 barrels a day in 2024, OPEC said.