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| 2019-12-31 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网12月30日新德里报道，六位贸易消息人士周一表示，全球最大的石油出口国沙特阿拉伯明年2月份可能会降低向亚洲出售的轻质原油的价格，因为有迹象表明，在该地区炼油厂维修旺季到来之前，需求将放缓。 路透调查中的6位受访者中有4位表示，2月份阿拉伯旗舰轻质原油的官方售价(OSP)可能每桶下降20-30美分。国有石油公司沙特阿美公司（Saudi Aramco）1月份将阿拉伯轻质原油OSP提高到6年来的最高水平，这是第四个月增长。 据消息人士称，由于中东原油基准迪拜的价格结构表明2月份原油需求下降，阿美可能削减OSP，当3月亚洲精炼厂开始停产检修时，当月装载的货物可能到达。 路透社的数据显示，本月到目前为止，第一个月和第三个月现货溢价迪拜价格之间的平均升值幅度比上月缩小了15美分。 在现货市场中，即时价格高于未来几个月。 消息人士称，在本月石脑油裂解减弱之后，2月阿拉伯特级轻油价格可能会进一步下跌。 然而，他们表示，对1月份装载货物的强劲需求和燃料油利润率的反弹将支持沙特的重质石油的OSP。 大多数受访者预计，2月份阿拉伯中质原油的OSP将保持不变或略有下降，而预期的涨价和阿拉伯重油的降价之间存在分歧。 随着中国新炼油厂的需求在2020年继续增长，这些等级的供应可能仍会紧张，即使沙特阿拉伯和科威特正在努力恢复他们在中立区之间联合生产的产量。 沙特原油OSP通常在每个月的五号左右发布，这为科威特和伊拉克的价格设定了趋势，影响到每天运往亚洲的原油超过1200万桶。 沙特阿美公司根据客户的建议确定原油价格，并根据产量和产品价格计算出过去一个月的石油价格变化。 郝芬 译自 能源世界网 原文如下： Saudi Arabia may cut light crude prices to Asia in February Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, may cut the prices of its light crude grades sold to Asia in February on signs of slowing demand ahead of the region's peak refinery maintenance season, six trade sources said on Monday. The official selling price (OSP) of flagship Arab Light crude in February could fall by 20-30 cents a barrel, four of six respondents in a Reuterssurvey said. State oil company Saudi Aramco raised the Arab Light OSP to the highest in six years in January, the fourth month of increases. Aramco may cut the OSP as the price structure for Middle East crude benchmark Dubai indicated falling crude demand in February as cargoes loading that month are likely to arrive when Asian refineries begin shutting for maintenance in March, the sources said. The average backwardation between the first and third month cash Dubai price so far this month narrowed by 15 cents from the previous month, Reuters data showed. In a backwardated market prompt prices are higher than those in future months. Arab Extra Light may see a bigger price cut in February after naphtha cracks weakened this month, the sources said. However, firm demand for January-loading cargoes and rebounding fuel oil margins will support the OSPs for heavier Saudi oil, they said. Most of the survey respondents expect the February OSP for Arab Medium to remain unchanged or drop slightly while the view was split between an expected price hike and price cut for Arab Heavy. Supplies of these grades could remain tight as demand from new Chinese refineries will continue to rise in 2020 even as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are working on resuming output from their joint production in the Neutral Zone between them. Saudi crude OSPs are usually released around the fifth of each month, and set the trend for Kuwaiti and Iraqi prices, affecting more than 12 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude bound for Asia. Saudi Aramco sets its crude prices based on recommendations from customers and after calculating the change in the value of its oil over the past month, based on yields and product prices.
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