随着需求回升和经济改善油价企稳

据5月25日The National报道，在美国石油供应继续下降的情况下，油价继续反弹，石油本周开盘价高企。

阿联酋时间上午9:25，交易最广泛的原油大宗商品基准布伦特(Brent)上涨0.40%，至每桶35.27美元;西德克萨斯中质原油(West Texas Intermediate)上涨1.02%，至每桶33.59美元。

瑞士信贷银行(Swissquote Bank)高级分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示：“随着全球企业重新开业和经济活动改善，需求回升，WTI巩固了其涨幅。尽管国际贸易紧张局势可能会减缓复苏的步伐，但基本能源需求的改善应会继续保持短期趋势向好的方向发展，并为WTI价格保持在每桶30美元附近提供支撑。”

受美国页岩盆地钻探活动放缓的推动，美国油价自本月初以来反弹近70%。这一美国基准原油价格的上涨，与上月的表现完全相反——当时油价在5月合约到期前跌至负值，因为卖家发现可供储存原油的存储空间有限，导致原油期货大幅下挫。

当前，随着美国钻井企业的停产，供应也进一步下降，欧佩克+石油生产国在5月和6月将继续每天削减970多万桶石油。

随着页岩独立开采企业继续停产，作为上游活动指标的美国钻机数量降至2009年以来的最低水平。来自贝克休斯的钻机数量数据显示，截至周五的一周，钻机数量下降了21台，至237台。

IHS Markit指出，由于运营亏损、需求和存储能力不足，美国生产商日停产量达175万桶。

邹勤 摘译自 The National

原文如下：

Oil prices hold steady as demand picks up and global business reopens

Oil started the trading week on a high note, continuing its recovery as US supply continued to decline.

Brent, the most widely traded crude commodity benchmark, was up 0.40 per cent at $35.27 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate gained 1.02 per cent at $33.59 per cent at 9.25am UAE time.

WTI crude consolidated its gains "as demand picks up on global business reopening and improved economic activity," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, a senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.

"Though the US-China tensions could slow down the pace of the recovery, the improvement in basic energy demand should continue keeping the short-term trend on a positive path and give support to WTI near the $30 per barrel."

US oil prices recovered nearly 70 per cent from the beginning of this month, buoyed by slowing drilling activity across the US shale basins.

The US benchmark’s gains are a complete reversal of its performance last month, when it plunged below zero to -$40 per barrel towards the expiry of the May contract. The futures took a tumble as sellers found limited storage available to store their crude.

Supply also retreated further, as US drillers stopped production, even as Opec+ oil producers continued to cut back more than 9.7 million barrels per day in May and June.

Rig counts in the US, an indicator of upstream activity, slipped to the lowest levels since 2009, as shale independents continue to shut in production.

Rig count data from Baker Hughes indicated a fall by 21 to 237 for the week ending Friday.

US producers are in the process of halting 1.75m bpd of production by early June due to operating losses, lack of demand and storage capacity, noted IHS Markit.