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| 2020-06-04 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
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中国石化新闻网讯 据烃加工网站6月2日消息 柴油和其他中间蒸馏燃料的消费可能会在数月内受到抑制，因为家庭订单被取消，流行病和封锁的持续影响减少了商业活动。 大多数主要经济体的封锁正在缓解，允许工厂恢复运营。现在的问题是缺乏家庭和企业需求，这将在2020年剩余时间内影响柴油的使用。 在美国，向国内市场供应的蒸馏油量仍比一年前同期低近14%。 与大部分由私人司机购买的汽油不同，柴油主要用于制造业、货运、农业、采矿和油气钻探。 随着上班和休闲旅行开始恢复，汽油消费正在回升，但蒸馏油与商业周期的关系更为密切，而且将受到工业活动持续低迷的影响。 制造业的全面复苏可能比许多政策制定者在3月份主要经济体进入封锁期时最初希望的更为持久。 随着允许工厂重新开工，原材料、半成品和最终产品的流动恢复，一些消费应该会较快地恢复。 事实上，自4月份以来，蒸馏油消费量已经小幅回升，但仍同比下降约20%。 制造业调查显示，即使在封锁放松的情况下，产出仍在持续下滑，因为企业难以应对供应链上未售出库存的增加以及对终端用户的低销售额。 吴恒磊 编译自 烃加工 原文如下： Global diesel use likely to be depressed all year Consumption of diesel and other middle distillate fuels is likely to be depressed for many months, as stay-at-home orders are lifted but the lingering effects of the epidemic and lockdowns reduce business activity. Lockdowns are easing in most of the major economies, permitting factories to resume operations; now the problem is the lack of household and business demand, which will weigh on diesel use through the rest of 2020. In the United States, the volume of distillate supplied to the domestic market is still almost 14% below the same point a year ago. In contrast to gasoline, most of which is purchased by private motorists, diesel is mostly used in manufacturing, freight transportation, farming, mining and oil and gas drilling. Gasoline consumption is picking up as travel to work and for leisure starts to resume, but distillate is more closely tied to the business cycle, and will be hit by an enduring downturn in industrial activity. A full recovery in manufacturing is likely to prove more protracted than many policymakers initially hoped when the major economies went into lockdown in March. Some consumption should return relatively quickly as factories are allowed to restart and the movement of raw materials, semi-finished items and final products resumes. Indeed, distillate consumption has already recovered modestly since April, when it was down by around 20% year-on-year. But manufacturing surveys show output continuing to slide, even as lockdowns relax, as businesses struggle with the build up of unsold inventories along the supply chain and low sales to end users. |
