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| 2020-06-28 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据6月26日Trend报道，路透社报告显示，尽管美国部分州疫情激增，且美国原油生产有复苏迹象，但油价于周五上涨，延续了全球燃料需求复苏的乐观情绪。 美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货CLc1上涨57美分，涨幅为1.5%，至39.29美元/桶，但本周或将小幅下跌。 布伦特原油LCOc1期货上涨64美分，至每桶41.69美元，涨幅为1.6%，本周也有望小幅下跌。 新加坡Phillip Futures大宗商品高级经理Avtar Sandu表示，总体而言，尽管市场仍存在对疫情爆发的担忧，但大宗商品市场周五对全球复苏持积极态度。他强调："对全球燃料需求复苏的乐观情绪一直支撑油价，尽管全球感染总数增加，且有迹象显示美国页岩油产量将增加。" 分析人士称，卫星数据显示，欧洲和美国的交通流量强劲回升，表明燃料需求有所改善。定位技术公司TomTom提供给路透社的数据显示，过去几周亚洲某一线城市的拥堵程度高于去年同期，而莫斯科的拥堵程度则恢复到了去年的水平。 不过，人们担心，美国南部一些州感染病例激增，可能会阻碍需求复苏，尤其是其如佛罗里达州和德克萨斯州，这些最大的汽油消费地区。 路透社多数经济学家表示，全球经济前景在过去一个月也有所恶化，充其量也可以算是保持不变，目前的衰退程度预计将比此前预期的更严重。 CMC Markets首席市场策略师迈克尔?麦卡锡(Michael McCarthy)表示:“市场似乎确实忽视了供需基本面，而随着人气而动。” 美国原油产量增加的前景也抑制了周五的涨势。 达拉斯联邦储备银行(Dallas Federal Reserve Bank)对美国最大油气产区达拉斯的高管进行的调查发现，超过一半此前曾预计减产的高管表示，预计在7月底前部分产出将恢复。 近三分之一的受访者表示，大多数生产商要想恢复产量，WTI价格必须在每桶36至41美元之间。另有27%的人表示，油价必须在每桶41至45美元之间。 王佳晶 摘译自 Trend 原文如下： Oil gains on growing fuel demand, even as infections rise Oil prices rose on Friday, extending gains on optimism about a recovery in fuel demand worldwide, despite a surge in coronavirus infections in some U.S. states and signs of a revival in U.S. crude production, Trend reports with reference to Reuters. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 futures gained 57 cents, or 1.5%, to $39.29 at 0431 GMT but were on track for a slight drop for the week. Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 64 cents, or 1.6%, to $41.69 and were also heading for a small decline for the week. Overall, commodities markets were taking a positive view on the global recovery on Friday despite worries about coronavirus flare-ups, said Avtar Sandu, senior manager commodities at Phillip Futures in Singapore. “Optimism about recovering fuel demand worldwide has been supportive of prices despite an increase in total coronavirus infections worldwide and amid signs that U.S. crude production from shale would grow,” he said. Analysts said satellite data showing a strong pick-up in traffic in Europe and across the United States pointed to an improvement in fuel demand. Congestion in Shanghai in the past few weeks was higher than in the same period last year, while in Moscow traffic was back to last year’s levels, data provided to Reuters by location technology company TomTom showed. However, there are fears a spike in COVID-19 infections in southern U.S. states could stall the demand recovery, especially as some of those states, such as Florida and Texas, are among the biggest gasoline consumers. The global economic outlook has also worsened or at best stayed about the same in the past month, a majority of economists polled by Reuters said, and the recession underway is expected to be deeper than earlier predicted. “It does appear the market is ignoring supply and demand fundamentals and moving on sentiment,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets. The prospect of increased U.S. crude production also kept a lid on gains on Friday. A survey of executives in the top U.S. oil and gas producing region by the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank found more than half of executives who cut production expect to resume some output by the end of July. WTI would have to be between $36 and $41 a barrel for a majority of producers to restore output, nearly a third said in the survey. Another 27% said prices would have to range between $41 and $45 per barrel. |
