"> 中国石化新闻网--IEA:石油需求复苏面临挑战
   
首页  新闻  行业  人物  企业  生活  English 
 
 
  石化要闻  |  国际  |  海外  |  人物  |  观察  |  图片
高层动态  |  国内  |  责任  |  言论  |  专题  |  视频
     
 
   您的位置: 新闻频道 >>> 行业国际
 

IEA:石油需求复苏面临挑战

2020-07-15     来源: 中国石化新闻网
石化新闻

    中国石化新闻网讯 据7月10日Rigzone报道,国际能源署(International Energy Agency)对全球石油需求前景表示乐观,但警告称,疫情的再次爆发可能会阻碍全球石油需求的复苏。

    该机构称,二季度燃料消耗量的下降幅度略低于此前的预估,随着经济活动恢复,未来三个月需求将大幅反弹。IEA预计,随着欧佩克及其盟友坚持大幅减产,巨大的库存将会减少。

    国际能源署表示:“病例数量不断增加,一些国家还在不断增长,这提醒我们,疫情尚未得到控制,对我们市场前景带来了几乎可以肯定的下行风险。”

    不过,值得注意的是,国际油价较4月底触及的低点上涨了一倍多,上周五在伦敦市场交易价格接近每桶42美元,原因是燃料消费量增加,原油供应受到控制。

    然而,人们仍能感受到危机的冲击仍在持续。全球石油需求今年将减少790万桶/天,降幅约为8%。尽管这仍是创纪录的需求削减,但并不像上个月预期的那样糟糕,当时该机构预计日消耗量将下降830万桶。

    IEA将其对危机最严重的第二季度的需求评估上调了150万桶/天,不过这仍较2019年同期下降了17%。

    据该机构指出,进入第三季度,随着经济活动的复苏,全球石油消费量将较前三个季度增加约14%,达到日均9430万桶。

    需求反弹,再加上欧佩克及其盟友的严格减产,加上其他国家的减产,应会在一定程度上缓解今年上半年积压的大量库存。

    6月份,全球石油供应跌至8690万桶的九年来最低水平,因欧佩克兑现了所有承诺,同时投资削减和钻井减少打击了美国和加拿大的产量。

    以沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的23个国家组成的欧佩克+联盟已经做出了史无前例的减产承诺,减产量几乎占全球供应量的10%,以重新平衡市场和支撑油价。国际能源署表示,由于沙特为加快复苏进程而进一步减产,减产幅度甚至超过了6月份承诺的规模。

    洪伟立 摘译自 Rigzone

    原文如下:

    IEA Warns Oil Demand Recovery at Risk

    The International Energy Agency bolstered its outlook for global oil demand, but warned that the recovery could be derailed by the resurgence of coronavirus.

    A collapse in fuel consumption during the second quarter was slightly less severe than previously estimated, and demand should rebound sharply over the next three months as economic activity resumes, the agency said in a monthly report. Bloated inventories will diminish as OPEC and its allies persevere with vast production cuts, it predicted.

    Yet a flare-up of the virus, which is raging across several U.S. states and re-emerging in Asia, is “casting a shadow over the outlook,” the IEA cautioned.

    “The large, and in some countries, accelerating number of Covid-19 cases is a disturbing reminder that the pandemic is not under control and the risk to our market outlook is almost certainly to the downside,” the IEA said. The Paris-based agency advises major economies on energy policy.

    International oil prices have more than doubled from the lows reached in late April, trading just under $42 a barrel in London on Friday, as fuel use picks up and crude supplies are reined in.

    The shockwaves of the coronavirus crisis are, however, still being felt.

    Global oil demand is on track to slump by 7.9 million barrels a day, or about 8%, this year as lockdowns and the economic contraction reduce the need for products like jet fuel and gasoline. While still a record loss, it’s not as bad as anticipated last month, when the agency projected a drop of 8.3 million barrels a day.

    The IEA boosted its demand assessment for the second quarter, the height of the crisis, by 1.5 million barrels a day –- though that still equates to a 17% drop in the period from the same point in 2019.

    Going into the third quarter, worldwide consumption should now pick up by about 14% from the previous three-month period, with the revival in economic activity, to average 94.3 million barrels a day, according to the agency.

    The demand rebound, coupled with strict output cutbacks by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies alongside losses elsewhere, should temper some of the enormous inventory glut that piled up during the first half of the year.

    Global oil supply dropped to a nine-year low of 86.9 million barrels a day last month as OPEC+ delivered all the curbs it promised, while investment cuts and reduced drilling hit output from the U.S. and Canada.

    The 23-nation OPEC+ alliance, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has pledged unprecedented output reductions amounting to almost 10% of world supplies in a bid to rebalance markets and shore up prices. The coalition cut even more than promised in June as the Saudis made additional reductions to speed up the recovery process, the IEA said.

 
 
延伸阅读
 
 
<返回频道首页>
 
   石化要闻
· 世界首套芳烃型移动床轻石脑油芳构化装置投产
· 江苏石油联合举办加油站安全生产对标帮扶会
· 巴陵石化技能操作人员一岗多能获奖励
· 川维VAE产品绿色包装量持续强劲增长
· 中原石油工程公司以技术创新驱动攻坚创效
· 扬子石化全面部署持续攻坚创效行动
· 化销华东联合镇海炼化物流降本减费超百万元
· 河南油田多举措保持安全环保局面稳定
   图片新闻
华东石油局:加强作业现场检查 打造绿色生态油田。 亲情化服务赢得回头客
贵阳石油携手贵阳银行信用卡送您加油金 西北油田:护航安全应急救援大练兵掀起新热潮
   高层动态
· 张玉卓到集团公司驻浙江企业调研
· 张玉卓拜会浙江省委副书记郑栅洁
· 马永生到驻海南企业调研
· 赵东到燕山石化进行党建工作专题调研
   行业·国际
· 欧佩克会议或将宣布缓和减产
· 中东市场油价攀升 股市上涨
· 美国钻机数量较去年同期下降700部
· 今年上半年全球常规资源发现数量减少31%
· EIA提高原油期货价格和美国原油产量预期
· 道达尔荣获全球最受钦佩上游勘探公司
· IEA在印尼成立绿色能源合资公司
· 石油市场复苏受到燃料需求疲软冲击
   行业·国内
· BP向上海原油期货交易中心交割首船入库原油
· 山东能源等4大千亿级鲁企合并整合官宣
· 石油流通管理体制加快完善:利好政策近期出台
· 我国柴油吸附分离技术推广应用获重要阶段成果
· 煤化工亟待提升中低油价下的竞争力
· 油服企业的回暖之路漫长且坎坷
· “五化”将是未来能源转型发展的主要方向
· 天然气市场再传积极信号
 
 
 
 报社简介 | 关于我们 | 联系我们 | 网站导航 | 广告服务
 中国石油化工集团公司版权所有 未经授权,禁止复制或建立镜像     广电经营许可证(广媒)字第180号 信息网络传播视听节目许可证:0110459号
 京ICP备 05069883 号 互联网新闻信息服务许可证:1012006018号     本网常年法律顾问 北京维京律师事务所 孙连钟律师 高天玉律师