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| 2020-09-15 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社9月11日伦敦报道，业内高管近日在天然气技术（Gastech）峰会上纷纷表示，受亚洲经济增长的推动，未来几十年全球液化天然气(LNG)需求料将稳步增加，而疫情被视为只是短期的挫折。 埃克森美孚公司LNG市场开发公司总裁Irtiza Sayyed说：“尽管世界仍在努力应对市场需求的严重影响和疫情的影响，但人口增长和能源需求增长仍将支撑着长期基本面。” 国际能源论坛预计，今年全球天然气需求预计将下降大约3%，此后将强劲复苏。 随着世界寻求更清洁的能源以减少污染和二氧化碳排放，天然气和LNG预计将提供一条通向净零排放未来的走廊。 钱尼尔能源公司市场营销分公司副总裁道格拉斯·沃顿在Gastech上表示：““随着全球经济的增长，LNG行业现在和将来都将保持高速增长，特别是在亚洲，人们渴望安全、廉价和燃烧清洁的燃料。” 美国最大的LNG出口商钱尼尔能源公司预测，2019年至2040年期间，LNG贸易需求将以年均3.4%的速度增长，而实现这一增长还需要额外的LNG供应量。 参加峰会的一些高管说，由于疫情减少了对新产量的投资，供应可能不会像需求那样迅速恢复。 伍德麦肯兹公布的统计数据显示，未来10年，LNG需求增加的三分之二将来自中国、印度、巴基斯坦和孟加拉国。 来自印度的业内高管表示，今年他们的LNG需求正在增加，而大多数发言者都认为，中国将是未来几十年全球LNG需求增加的主要推动力。 Poten & Partners公司天然气和LNG顾问蔡明(音)表示，到2040年前，中国的天然气年需求量预计将超过6000亿立方米，而今年中国天然气年需求量预计仅略高于3000亿立方米。 李峻 编译自 路透社 原文如下: Global LNG demand to rise for next few decades, COVID a temporary blip Demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) is set to increase steadily for several decades helped by economic growth in Asia, industry executives told the Gastech summit this week, with the COVID-19 pandemic seen as only a short-term setback. "While the world continues to grapple with the severe impacts of market demand and the impact of COVID-19, long-term fundamentals remain strong supported by growing population and energy demand," Irtiza Sayyed, president, ExxonMobil LNG Market Development Inc, said. Global gas demand is forecast to decline by around 3% in 2020 and make a robust recovery after that, according to International Energy Forum. With the world seeking cleaner energy sources to reduce pollution and CO2 emissions, gas and LNG are expected to provide the corridor to a net-zero future. "LNG is and will remain a high-growth industry based on a growing economy worldwide, particularly in Asia, with a desire for secure, affordable and cleaner-burning fuels," Douglas Wharton, vice president, Cheniere Marketing Pte. Ltd. , told Gastech. Cheniere forecasts LNG trade demand will grow by an average 3.4% a year between 2019 and 2040, with additional supply required to achieve such growth. Some executives at the summit said that as coronavirus had reduced investment in new production, supply may not recover as fast as demand. Around two thirds of the growth in LNG demand in the next decade will come from China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh, according to Wood Mackenzie. Industry executives from India said LNG demand in their countries is growing this year, while most speakers agreed China will be the key driving force for LNG demand in coming decades. China's gas demand is expected to exceed 600 billion cubic metres (bcm) per year by 2040, up from just over 300 bcm per year in 2020, according to Ming Cai, natural gas and LNG consultant at Poten & Partners |
