油价创下6月以来最大单周涨幅后企稳

    中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社9月21日报道，虽然全球能源需求复苏前景不明朗，但沙特阿拉伯可能施压要求欧佩克+进一步减产，这使得市场达到一个微妙的平衡状态，油价在录得6月以来最大单周涨幅后趋稳。

    纽约期货交易价格接近每桶41美元，上周五上涨0.3%。英国表示,随着新病例的激增，该国接近“临界点”，同时美国也有至少一个病毒周期的预测。石油工业正在遭受重创，投资者已经将布伦特原油的看涨押注降至五个月来的最低水平。

    美国原油期货上周上涨10%，此前沙特阿拉伯展示了捍卫市场的决心。沙特是欧佩克成员国中最具影响力的国家。沙特暗示，他们已经做好了新的减产准备，并痛斥那些不遵守减产协议的成员国。

    对于今年早些时候建立的大量原油储备将以何种速度被消耗，各方还缺乏共识。全球最大的独立石油贸易商维托尔集团(Vitol Group)表示，2020年剩余时间里，库存将继续下降，而其竞争对手托克集团(Trafigura Group)则认为，市场将回到供应过剩状态。

    Oanda公司亚太地区高级市场分析师Jeffrey Halley表示:“我认为我们已经看到了油价反弹的最好阶段，从现在起，它将很难取得任何实质性的增长。欧洲更多的出现限制以及部分恢复的石油生产都在打压市场情绪。”

    布伦特3个月期远期合约的期货溢价为每桶1.36美元，低于一周前的1.80美元。这表明，市场对供应过剩的担忧有所缓解。

    全球最大石油生产国美国的钻井活动自7月初以来一直保持相对稳定。贝克休斯的数据显示，截至9月18日的一周内，活跃的石油钻井平台数量减少了1个，至179个。

    王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社

    原文如下：

    Oil Steady After Best Week Since June Amid Demand Uncertainty

    Oil steadied following its biggest weekly gain since June as a lack of clarity over the global energy demand recovery was balanced by the possibility that Saudi Arabia could press for more OPEC+ output cuts.

    Futures in New York traded near $41 a barrel after rising 0.3% Friday. The U.K. said the country is close to a “tipping point” as new cases surge, while there were predictions of at least one more virus cycle in the U.S. Libya, meanwhile, is moving closer to reopening its battered oil industry and money managers have cut their bullish bets on Brent crude to the lowest in five months.

    U. S. crude futures jumped 10% last week after a show of determination by Saudi Arabia, the most influential Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries member, to defend the market. The Saudis hinted they’re prepared for new output cuts, and lambasted OPEC+ nations that have cheated on quotas.

    V.

    There’s a lack of consensus over the rate at which massive crude stockpiles built up earlier in the year will be drawn down. Vitol Group, the world’s biggest independent oil trader, said inventories would continue to fall for the rest of 2020, while its rival Trafigura Group sees the market moving back into surplus.

    “I think we’ve seen the best of the oil rally and it will struggle to make any substantial gains from now,” said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at Oanda Corp. “More lockdowns in Europe and the return of some production is weighing on sentiment.”

    Brent’s three-month timespread was $1.36 a barrel in contango -- where prompt contracts are cheaper than later-dated ones -- compared with $1.80 a week ago. The change in the market structure for the global benchmark indicates concern about over-supply has eased somewhat.

    Drilling activity in the U.S., the world’s biggest producer, has held relatively steady since early July. The number of active oil rigs fell by 1 to 179 in the week through Sept. 18, according to Baker Hughes data.