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| 2020-10-19 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据海湾时报网站10月13日消息 欧佩克昨日表示，随着冠状病毒病例的增加，2021年全球石油需求反弹的速度将比此前预计的要慢，这加剧了该组织及其盟友在平衡市场方面面临的阻力。 欧佩克在一份月度报告中表示，明年需求将增长654万桶/天，至9684万桶/天。增长预期比一个月前预期的低8万桶/天。 需求的进一步疲软可能会威胁到欧佩克及其盟国在2021年削减今年创纪录的石油产量的计划。 欧佩克正在关注局势，但目前还没有取消增加供应的计划。 由于冠状病毒危机减少了旅游和经济活动，油价暴跌。 尽管第三季度放松的封锁措施使需求得以恢复，但欧佩克认为经济改善的步伐再次放缓。 欧佩克的报告在谈到经济前景时称：“虽然一些经济体2020年第三季度的复苏令人印象深刻，但在各种持续的不确定性中，近期趋势仍然脆弱，尤其是Covid-19近期有增强的趋势。” “随着全球感染人数的强劲上升，这种不确定性日益凸显，预计2020年第三季度的大幅复苏不会持续到第四季度和2021年。” 欧佩克已将其2021年石油需求增长预期从7月份最初预计的700万桶/天下调。 该集团还将本季度全球石油需求预估下调22万桶/天，将今年石油使用量的历史性收缩规模维持在947万桶/天。 吴恒磊 编译自 海湾时报 原文如下： Opec cuts 2021 global oil demand forecast again as coronavirus cases rise World oil demand will rebound more slowly in 2021 than previously thought as coronavirus cases rise, Opec said yesterday, adding to headwinds faced by the group and its allies in balancing the market. Demand will rise by 6.54mn bpd next year to 96.84mn bpd, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in a monthly report. The growth forecast is 80,000 bpd less than expected a month ago. A further weakening of demand could threaten plans by Opec and allies to taper in 2021 the record oil output cuts they made this year. Opec is keeping an eye on the situation but currently has no plan to cancel the supply boost. Oil prices have collapsed as the coronavirus crisis curtailed travel and economic activity. While in the third quarter an easing of lockdowns allowed demand to recover, Opec sees the pace of economic improvement slowing again. “While the 3Q20 recovery in some economies was impressive, the near-term trend remains fragile, amid a variety of ongoing uncertainties, especially the near-term trajectory of Covid-19,” Opec’s report said of the economic outlook. “As this uncertainty looms large, amid a globally strong rise in infections, it is not expected that the considerable recovery in 3Q20 will continue into 4Q20 and in 2021.” Opec has steadily lowered its 2021 oil demand growth forecast from an initial 7mn bpd expected in July. The group also cut its estimate of world oil demand in the current quarter by 220,000 bpd. It left its estimate of the scale of this year’s historic contraction in oil use steady at 9.47mn bpd. |
