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| 2020-10-23 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据天然气加工新闻网10月16日报道，美国天然气期货周五小幅上涨，因市场预测10月底天气将转冷，取暖需求将上升，且LNG出口持续上升。尽管飓风“德尔塔”(Hurricane Delta)过后，墨西哥湾沿岸油井的产量有所增加，但油价还是上涨了。 美国东部时间上午8：44（格林尼治时间12：44)，即月天然气期货价格上涨5.3%，涨幅1.9%，至每百万英热单位2.828美元。 这使得该合约在本周上涨约3%后连续第四周上涨。 根据数据提供商Refinitiv称，美国48个州周四的日产量从上周末的824亿立方英尺的26个月低点跃升至874亿立方英尺，因Delta关闭的油井恢复运营。 随着液化天然气出口增加和天气转冷，Refinitiv预计，下周的日均需求量将从本周的851 亿立方英尺升至903亿立方英尺，两周后将升至980亿立方英尺。尽管本月出现飓风和维修中断，但10月迄今为止，流向液化天然气出口工厂的天然气日均流量为68亿立方英尺，高于9月的57 亿立方英尺。 这将是自4月份以来的最大月增幅，并使出口有望实现自2月份以来的首次连续第三个月增长。2月份，由于全球天然气价格不断上涨，促使买家取消了货运订单，原料气出口达到创纪录的87亿立方英尺/天。 此前，由于与冠状病毒相关的需求破坏导致欧洲和亚洲的价格暴跌至创纪录的低点，而买方取消了约175批美国货物，美国的出口较3-7月有所下降。 欧洲和亚洲的即月天然气价格达到自2019年12月和2020年1月以来的最高水平，比美国亨利枢纽中心（Henry Hub）基准价格高出2美元/百万英热单位。 郝芬 译自 天然气加工新闻 原文如下： U.S. natgas futures edge up on cold forecasts, rising LNG exports U.S. natural gas futures edged up on Friday on forecasts for the weather to turn colder and heating demand to rise in late October and a continued rise in LNG exports. That price increase came despite a rise in output with Gulf Coast wells returning after Hurricane Delta. Front-month gas futures rose 5.3 cents, or 1.9%, to $2.828 per million British thermal units at 8:44 a.m. EDT (1244 GMT). That puts the contract on track to rise for a fourth week in a row after gaining about 3% this week. Data provider Refinitiv said output in the Lower 48 U.S. states jumped to 87.4 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) on Thursday from a 26-month low of 82.4 bcfd over the weekend as wells shut for Delta returned to service. As LNG exports rise and the weather turns colder, Refinitiv projected average demand would jump from 85.1 bcfd this week to 90.3 bcfd next week and 98.0 bcfd in two weeks. The amount of gas flowing to LNG export plants has averaged 6.8 bcfd so far in October, up from 5.7 bcfd in September, despite hurricane and maintenance outages this month. That would be the most in a month since April and puts exports on track to rise for a third month in a row for the first time since February when feedgas hit a record 8.7 bcfd as rising global gas prices prompted buyers to reverse cargo cancellations. Previously, U.S. exports fell from March-July as coronavirus-related demand destruction caused prices in Europe and Asia to collapse to record lows and buyers to cancel around 175 U.S. cargoes. Front-month gas prices in Europe and Asia were trading at their highest since December 2019 and January 2020, respectively, putting them both more than $2 per mmBtu over the U.S. Henry Hub benchmark. |
