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| 2020-11-16 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据11月11日FX Empire报道，亚洲石油价格在周中交易时段录得令人印象深刻的涨幅，原因是最近发布的API数据显示，美国的能源需求都没有预期的那么糟糕。 在这份报告起草时，布伦特原油价格突破每桶43.50美元的强劲阻力位，并显示出有足够的支撑力突破每桶45美元大关。此外，西德克萨斯中质原油价格也录得强劲涨幅，交易价格轻松高于每桶41美元。 美国石油学会的数据显示，截至11月6日当周，美国原油库存意外减少5147万桶。石油专家早些时候曾预测库存仅会减少91.3万桶。 继目前这一令人印象深刻的宏观经济局势之后，美国的能源需求似乎正在上升，据报告显示，在专家预测本周美国石油库存将增加89万桶后，却大幅下降了801万桶，这意味着这个世界上最大的经济体至少在近期已经回到正轨。 石油交易商早些时候增加了他们的看涨头寸，因为欧佩克披露，将考虑将当前的原油减产推迟到明年年初之后。 石油看涨人士也对能源需求的增长充满信心,特别是当辉瑞公司新冠肺炎疫苗上市,出行限制措施取消，加上恢复航空旅行后，可能推动油价超过每桶50美元的价格水平。 不过，近期来看，油价上涨的可能性仍不明朗，有报导称，地缘政治忧虑重燃，并令油价维持在当前区间内。所以,公平地说，石油交易商的情绪至少在2020年底前仍倾向于谨慎，因为能源需求可能会下降。因为，在今年剩余时间里,北半球的冬季来临，这意味着原油价格不太可能在短期内突破每桶47.50美元。 王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire 原文如下： World’s Largest Economy Energy Demand Boost Crude Oil Prices Oil prices recorded impressive gains at the mid-week trading session in Asia after the recently released API’s data showed energy demand at the world’s largest economy wasn’t as bad early anticipated in many quarters. At the time this report was drafted, Brent crude oil prices broke above its strong resistance level of $43.50/barrel, and showed it had enough gas to breach the $45/barrel mark, amid impressive demand for energy seen lately in the world’s largest economy. That said the West Texas Intermediate also recorded impressive gains, trading comfortably above $41/barrel. Data retrieved from the American Petroleum Institute revealed a surprising drop in U.S crude oil Stockpiles by 5.147 million barrels for the week ending November 6. Oil experts had earlier suggested an inventory drop of just 913,000 barrels. Sequel to this impressive macro prevailing now, energy demand in America seem to be ticking up, on reports showing the American economy printed a large drop in oil inventories of 8.01-million barrels after experts had predicted a gain of 890,000 barrels for the week, meaning the world’s largest economy was back on track at least on the near term. Oil traders had earlier increased their bullish positions on the bias that the oil cartel group recently disclosed that it would consider pushing the current round of crude oil production cuts beyond early next year. Oil bulls are also roaring loud on strong macros revealing energy demand could significantly improve, especially when Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine hit the market, on the bias that restriction on social mobility would be lifted, coupled with the resumption of air travels might push oil prices above the $50/barrel price level before mid-next year. However, in the near term, the odds still looks cloudy for the black liquid fossil on reports that a pending legal tussle between the two major U.S political parties over the just concluded U.S election might restore growing geopolitical concerns and keep oil prices ranging. So, it is fair to say oil traders sentiment remain skewed towards being careful at least till the end of 2020 on the fundamental that energy demand will likely drop, as winter months in the Northern Hemisphere comes to play between now and 2020, meaning it’s unlikely for Crude oil prices to breach above $47.50/barrel anytime soon. |
