|
| 2020-11-17 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
 |
 |
石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据11月12日Oil Monster消息：随着COVID-19病例激增削弱了燃料需求，人们越来越希望世界主要产油国推迟原定的供应增加计划。油价周四上涨，本周涨幅超过11%。 格林威治时间04：36，美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨12美分，涨幅0.3%，至每桶41.57美元，而布伦特原油期货上涨9美分，涨幅0.2%，至每桶43.89美元。 阿尔及利亚能源部长周三表示，由石油输出国组织(欧佩克)和包括俄罗斯在内的其他供应商组成的欧佩克+可以将目前770万桶/天的减产延长至2021年，或在必要时进一步减产。 分析师称，疲软的前景给欧佩克+带来了压力，迫使其推迟1月日产200万桶的增产计划，市场目前已消化了增产计划会推迟的预期。 布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油价格本周双双飙升，因为人们希望疫情能够得到控制。此前，初步试验数据显示，辉瑞公司和德国BioNTech公司正在研发一种实验性COVID-19疫苗，其有效性达到90％。 “这是一个好消息，但疫苗推出需要时间，因此需求受到积极影响也需要一段时间，”澳大利亚国家银行商品研究主管Lachlan Shaw表示。 与此同时，欧洲、美国和拉丁美洲的感染人数不断上升，导致燃料需求面临压力。因此，欧佩克表示，2021年需求反弹将比此前预期的更慢。 Lachlan Shaw称:“从许多方面来看，市场都在期待2021年的到来，届时我们将推出疫苗，欧佩克及其盟友将推迟部分预定的供应增长。” 澳新银行(ANZ Research)的分析师表示，由于新增病例的限制措施可能导致市场在第四季度重新回到过剩状态，因此原油需求的前景已经暗淡。 冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster 原文如下： Oil Nudges Up on Hopes OPEC+ Will Curb Supply As COVID-19 Cases Rise Oil prices rose on Thursday, taking the week’s gains to more than 11% on growing hopes that the world’s major producers will hold off on a planned supply increase as soaring cases of COVID-19 dent fuel demand. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 12 cents, or 0.3%, to $41.57 a barrel at 0436 GMT, while Brent crude futures rose 9 cents, or 0.2%, to $43.89 a barrel. Algeria’s energy minister said on Wednesday that OPEC+ - grouping the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other suppliers including Russia - could extend current production cuts of 7.7 million barrels per day (bpd) into 2021, or deepen them further if needed. The weakening outlook has piled pressure on OPEC+ to hold back a supply increase of 2 million bpd scheduled for January, with the market now pricing in a delay, analysts said. Both Brent and WTI have soared this week, lifted by hopes that the global coronarivus pandemic can be brought under control after initial trial data showed an experimental COVID-19 vaccine being developed by Pfizer Inc and Germany's BioNTech was 90% effective. “It’s great news, no question about that ... But it will take time for vaccines to be rolled out, and therefore it will take time for demand to be positively impacted by that,” said Lachlan Shaw, National Australia Bank’s head of commodity research. In the meantime, fuel demand is under pressure from rising infections in Europe, the United States and Latin America. As a result, OPEC has said demand will rebound more slowly in 2021 than previously thought. “In many ways the market is looking forward into 2021, to a time when we do have vaccines rolling out, and to a time where OPEC and allies have held back some of those scheduled supply increases,” National Australia Bank’s Shaw said. Analysts at ANZ Research said the outlook for crude oil demand has darkened because of new pandemic restrictions which could push the market back into surplus in the fourth quarter. “We feel OPEC has no choice but to delay output increases, most likely by three months,” they said. |
