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| 2020-11-23 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据11月18日MENAFN消息：美国能源信息署(EIA)周二表示，到2021年底，美国原油产量将保持在目前1100万桶/天左右的水平，因为新的钻井活动不足以抵消现有油井的下降。 去年11月，美国原油产量达到创纪录的1290万桶/天。截至今年3月，随着疫情和沙特-俄罗斯的价格战，油价暴跌，美国原油日产量平均为1270万桶。 在接下来的两个月里，由于油价走低，美国石油生产商削减了250万桶/天的石油产量。远低于大多数陆上页岩产区的收支平衡价格。根据EIA数据，到2020年5月，美国原油产量已降至1000万桶/日，为2018年1月以来的最低水平。 到7月，美国生产商已经恢复了先前停产的部分产量，因为油价基本上稳定在每桶40美元左右的窄幅范围内。7月原油产量为1100万桶/天，8月原油产量为1060万桶，8月产量因飓风导致美国墨西哥湾关闭而中断。 EIA上周在其11月短期能源展望(STEO)中预估，本月美国石油日产量为1,120万桶。 到2021年第二季度，产量可能会下降到平均1100万桶/天，因为新的钻井活动无法产生足够的产量来抵消现有油井的产量下降。 不过，受油价上涨预期的支撑，钻探活动将在2021年下半年加快，美国原油产量将在2021年第四季达到1,130万桶/天。EIA预计，按年平均计算，原油产量将从2019年的1220万桶/天降至今年的1140万桶/天，2021年将降至1110万桶/天。 冯娟 摘译自 MENAFN 原文如下： EIA Sees Flat U.S. Crude Oil Production Through 2021 U.S. crude oil production is set to remain close to its current levels of around 11 million barrels per day (bpd) through the end of 2021, as new drilling activity will not be enough to offset declines from existing wells, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday. Crude oil production in the United States hit a record 12.9 million bpd in November last year. As of March this year, when oil prices collapsed with the pandemic and the Saudi-Russian price war, American crude oil output averaged 12.7 million bpd. Over the next two months, U.S. producers curtailed more than 2.5 million bpd of oil production due to the low oil prices, which were well below break-even prices for most of the onshore shale producing regions. By May 2020, U.S. crude oil production had slipped to 10.0 million bpd, the lowest level since January 2018, according to EIA data. By July, U.S. producers had restored part of the previously shut-in production as oil prices largely stabilized in a narrow range of around $40 per barrel. U.S. crude oil output was 11 million bpd in July, and 10.6 million bpd in August, with the August production disrupted by shut-ins in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico because of hurricanes. This month, U.S. oil production is expected at 11.2 million bpd, the EIA estimated in its November Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) last week. By the second quarter of 2021, production will likely decline to an average of 11.0 million bpd as new drilling activity will not generate enough production to offset declines from existing wells. However, drilling activity is set to pick up in the latter half of 2021, supported by expected higher oil prices, with U.S. crude oil production reaching 11.3 million bpd in the fourth quarter of 2021. On an annual average basis, EIA expects crude oil production to decline from 12.2 million bpd in 2019 to 11.4 million bpd this year and 11.1 million bpd in 2021. |
