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| 2020-11-27 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据能源网站Oilprice11月23日消息，据欧佩克消息人士周一对路透社说，欧佩克官员将在本周三，四和周五举行会议，在11月30日和12月1日的大会之前敲定部分细节问题，这些会议将决定2021年欧佩克各产油国的命运。 周三和周四，欧佩克经济委员会理事会将参与会议，而周五将由非欧佩克技术专家参加会议。 讨论的话题中，部分是关于将在2021年1月1日生效的减产措施。 按照目前的情况，自1月1日起，当前的减产水平将趋于缓和。但是，大多数行业分析家和专家都认为，石油需求（未能从疫情之后的水平中完全恢复过来）并不支持欧佩克在1月份缓和减产。 一位欧佩克代表对路透社表示：“欧佩克+部长们可能会同意将目前的产量延长到2021年第一季度。” 欧佩克希望的是，疫苗将促进经济活动，从而提高石油需求。但是，本月MOMR公司中关于疫苗的评论很少。 欧佩克目前每日减产770万桶，并计划在1月份将减产幅度降至570万桶。 即使有一种疫苗已于本月获批准紧急使用，但这一消息也不太可能在2021年下半年之前对石油需求产生任何有意义的影响。 沈彦 摘译自Oilprice 原文如下： OPEC To Decide The Fate Of Oil Markets In 2021 OPEC officials will meet this week on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday to iron out details ahead of the meeting on November 30 and December 1 that will determine the fate of OPEC’s oil producers for 2021. OPEC sources told Reuters on Monday. Wednesday and Thursday will see OPEC’s economic commission board gather together, and Friday will bring together non-OPEC technical experts. The topic of discussion? In part, the level of production cuts that will be in effect come January 1, 2021. As it stands right now, the current level of production cuts are set to ease as of January 1. But most industry analysts and experts agree that oil demand—which has failed to fully recover from its pandemic levels—does not support OPEC lessening its production cut mandates in January. “The OPEC+ ministers will probably agree to extend current production for the first quarter of 2021,” one OPEC delegate told Reuters. What OPEC is hoping for is that a vaccine will boost economic activity and therefore oil demand. But precious little was said about a vaccine in their MOMR this month. OPEC is currently cutting 7.7 million barrels per day, with plans to decrease those cuts to just 5.7 million bpd in January. Even if a vaccine is approved for emergency use this month, it is unlikely to have any meaningful effect on oil demand until the second half of 2021. |
