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| 2020-12-14 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网12月9日新德里报道，根据穆迪投资者服务公司(Moody's Investors Service)的数据显示，2021年全球油价将徘徊在每桶40- 45美元区间，仍将处于布伦特原油中期价格区间45-65美元的低端，这将对产油国的资本支出产生影响。 穆迪作为顶级评级机构在一份关于2021年油气行业前景的报告中称，由于需求复苏和市场再平衡的不均衡，油价将只会小幅上涨，并将维持在45- 65美元中期区间的低端。 2021年油价的小幅回升将导致生产商限制资本投资，这将对钻井、油田服务和中游公司产生负面的连锁反应，同时燃料需求将会上升，但不会达到经济衰退前的水平。 据该报告称，由于生产商将保持较低的资本支出，重点放在资产负债表，维持数量和股东回报上，因此新钻探的支出将仍然有限。 同样，低迷将促进战略审查，合并将继续在信用质量较高和杠杆较低的公司之间进行。 以亨利中心为基准，2021年天然气价格将基本保持在2.00- 3.00美元/百万英热单位(MMBtu)的中期范围内。然而，由于供应过剩、亚洲定价模式的变化以及来自可再生能源的日益激烈的竞争，液化天然气扩项目的最终决定面临推迟。 郝芬 译自 能源世界网 原文如下： 2021 Oil prices would hover in the $40-45 per barrel range: Moody's Global oil prices will hover in the $40-$45 per barrel range in 2021, remaining in the lower end of the $45-$65 Brent medium-term price range, with implications for capital spending by producers, according to Moody's Investors Service. "Oil prices are set for only modest gains and will remain at lower end of our $45-$65 per barrel medium-term range, with uneven demand recovery and market rebalancing," the top rating agency said in a report on the 2021 outlook for the oil and gas sector. The modest improvement in 2021 oil prices will lead producers to limit capital investment, with negative knock-on effects for drilling, oilfield services and midstream companies, while fuel demand will rise, but not to pre-downturn levels. The report said the spending in new drilling will remain limited as producers will keep capital spending low , focusing on balance sheets, maintaining volumes and shareholder returns. Also, the downturn will promote strategic reviews as consolidation will continue among companies with higher credit quality and lower leverage. Natural gas prices in 2021 - at benchmark Henry Hub - will stay largely within $2.00-$3.00 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) medium-term range. However, final decisions on LNG expansion projects face delays from oversupply, changing pricing models in Asia and rising competition from renewables. |
