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| 2020-12-18 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据ICIS网站12月15日消息 国际能源机构（IEA）周二表示，2021年全球原油需求预测已从2020年的9120万桶/日上调至9690万桶/日。 涨幅较小是由于2021年上半年出行需求减少，对喷气燃料和煤油的需求疲软。 2021年前景相对谨慎乐观，IEA预计汽油和柴油的需求将恢复至2019年水平的97-99%。 预计欧佩克+以外的非欧佩克产油国在2020年产量下降130万桶/日后，将在2021年增加40万桶/日。 对疫苗有效性、可用性和部署的担忧以及寒假过后病例的增加，可能会给2021年的石油需求带来下行压力。 王磊 摘译自 ICIS 原文如下： IEA expects ’21 oil demand to rise by a smaller amount The global crude oil demand forecast has been revised to 96.9m bbl/day in 2021, up from 91.2m bbl/day in 2020, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday. The smaller rise is due to weak demand for jet fuel and kerosene as a result of less travel demand in the first half of 2021. The outlook for 2021 is cautiously optimistic, with the IEA expecting demand for both gasoline and diesel to return to 97-99% of their 2019 levels. Non-OPEC producers outside of OPEC+ are expected to increase output in 2021 by 400,000 bbl/day after a fall of 1.3m bbl/day in 2020. Concerns over vaccine efficacity, availability and deployment along with a rise in cases after the winter holidays could bring downward pressure on oil demand in 2021. |
