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| 2021-01-05 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据美国钻井网站2020年12月31日报道，来自142家油气公司的高管们在最新进行的达拉斯联邦储备银行能源调查中预测2021年底西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)的价格。 根据2020年12月30日发布的此次调查结果，只有不到35%的受访者表示，他们预计2021年底WTI价格将在每桶50美元和54.99美元之间，略低于30%的受访者认为2021年底WTI价格将在每桶45美元和44.99美元之间，略低于15%的受访者认为2021年底WTI价格将在每桶55美元和59.99美元之间。 约13%的受访者认为，2021年底WTI价格每桶低于45美元，略高于5%的受访者预计2021年底WTI价格将在每桶60美元和64.99美元之间，低于5%的受访者认为WTI价格在2021年底每桶将超过65美元。 参与者在12月9日至17日进行的调查收集期间给出了他们的预测，而同期WTI平均价格为每桶47.09美元。 根据接受达拉斯联邦储备银行最新能源调查的高管们的说法，石油和天然气行业的活动在2020年第4季度大幅增长。商业活动指数从第3季度的-6.6升至第4季度的18.5。 达拉斯联邦储备银行的最新能源调查结果显示，这是自2019年第4季度以来商业活动指数首次出现正值。这一增长据说是由勘探、生产和油田服务公司共同推动的。 李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站 原文如下： Executives Predict 2021-End Oil Price Executives from 142 oil and gas firms have predicted where the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price will be at the end of next year in the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey. According to the survey, which was released on December 30, just under 35 percent of participants said they expected WTI to be between $50 per barrel and $54.99 per barrel at the end of 2021. Just under 30 percent thought WTI would be worth between $45 per barrel and $44.99 per barrel at the end of next year and just under 15 percent thought it would be worth between $55 per barrel and $59.99 per barrel. Around 13 percent of respondents placed WTI at under $45 per barrel at the end of 2021. Just over five percent of participants expected WTI to land between $60 per barrel and $64.99 per barrel and under five percent thought WTI would be worth more than $65 per barrel at the end of next year. Participants gave their projections during the survey collection period of December 9 to 17. WTI prices averaged $47.09 per barrel during the period. According to the executives responding to the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey, activity in the oil and gas sector jumped in fourth quarter. The business activity index, which is described as the survey’s broadest measure of conditions facing Eleventh District energy firms - rose from -6.6 in the third quarter to 18.5 in the fourth quarter. This is the first positive reading for the business activity index since fourth quarter of 2019, the latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey outlined. The increase was said to have been driven by both exploration and production and oilfield services firms. |
