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| 2021-01-07 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据1月4日Share Cafe消息：根据贝克·休斯数据，本周美国能源公司增加了3座石油和天然气钻井平台，成为自2017年第二季度以来增加钻井数量的最佳季度。 石油输出国组织(欧佩克)和包括俄罗斯在内的盟友定于1月4日召开会议，计划在明年1月将石油日产量提高50万桶。 尽管今年年底全球油价达到每桶约51美元，接近2015-2017年的平均水平，这掩盖了一年的市场动荡。 4月，由于疫情以及石油巨头沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯之间的价格战，美国原油暴跌至负数区域，布伦特原油价格跌破每桶20美元。 由于大流行摧毁了世界各地的燃料需求，因此2020年剩余时间已从下降中恢复过来。尽管短期内美国石油期货跌破每桶-40美元不大可能在2021年重演，但新的封锁和分阶段推出治疗病毒的疫苗将抑制明年甚至更长时间的需求。 即使在疫情爆发后，未来几年化石燃料需求仍可能疲软，因为各国都在寻求限制排放以减缓气候变化。英国石油和道达尔等主要石油公司发布的预测包括了全球石油需求可能在2019年见顶的情景。 美国能源信息署(EIA)表示，世界石油和液体燃料的产量从2019年的10061万桶/天下降到2020年的9425万桶/天，预计明年产量仅恢复到9742万桶/天。 随着冠状病毒病例的传播，政府实施了封锁，让居民呆在室内，远离道路。EIA称，今年全球原油和液体燃料消费量降至9240万桶/天，比2019年的1.012亿桶/天下降9%。 不断变化的格局对炼油厂构成了威胁。摩根士丹利称，大约有150万桶/天的处理能力已经退出市场。 冯娟 摘译自 Share Cafe 原文如下： Oil output set to jump in January U.S. energy firms this week added 3 oil and natural gas rigs to the best quarter for boosting the rig count since the second quarter of 2017, according to data from Baker Hughes. A Jan. 4 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, is set to boost output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in January. Even as global prices end the year at about $51 a barrel, near the average for 2015-2017, it masks a year of volatility. In April, U.S. crude plunged deep into negative territory and Brent dropped below $20 per barrel, slammed by the COVID-19 pandemic and a price war between oil giants Saudi Arabia and Russia. The remainder of 2020 was spent recovering from that drop as the pandemic destroyed fuel demand around the world. While the short-lived decline of U.S. oil futures below negative-$40 a barrel is not likely to be repeated in 2021, new lockdowns and a phased rollout of vaccines to treat the virus will restrain demand next year, and perhaps beyond. Fossil-fuel demand in coming years could remain softer even after the pandemic as countries seek to limit emissions to slow climate change. Major oil companies, such as BP Plc and Total SE, published forecasts that include scenarios where global oil demand may have peaked in 2019. World oil and liquid fuels production fell in 2020 to 94.25 million barrels per day (bpd) from 100.61 million bpd in 2019, and output is expected to recover only to 97.42 million bpd next year, the Energy Information Administration said. As coronavirus cases spread, governments imposed lockdowns, keeping residents indoors and off the roads. Consumption of world crude and liquid fuels fell to 92.4 million bpd for the year, a 9% drop from 101.2 million bpd in 2019, EIA said. The changing landscape poses a threat to refiners. About 1.5 million bpd of processing capacity has been taken off the market, Morgan Stanley said. |
