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| 2021-01-13 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据化工网1月8日消息：美国天然气储量上周下降1300亿立方英尺，由于液化天然气出口需求持续强劲，加上德克萨斯州的产量下降，本周可能会有更大需求。然而，亨利中心期货仍然停滞不前，因为未来几周库存过剩可能会扩大。 美国能源信息署(EIA)报告称，截至1月1日当周，库存降至3.330万亿立方英尺。这一数据远高于去年同期报告的480亿立方英尺，以及五年平均水平1150亿立方英尺。事实证明，该数字也强于上周公布的1140亿立方英尺。 随着欧洲和美国整体天气模型显示1月供暖天数与上周相比有所增加，天然气价格也将被推高。焦点是极地涡旋的减弱以及在这个月的后半月可能出现较冷的基态。 纽约商品交易所亨利中心2月合约价格在美国东部时间上午10:30发布每周库存报告后下跌4美分，至2.68美元/百万英热。 由于hdd每周增长10%，美国供需平衡趋紧。较冷的天气推动住宅和商业需求每周增加41亿立方英尺/天，导致美国总需求较上周增加39亿立方英尺/天。总供应量持平满足了更高的需求，从而增加了存储需求以达到平衡。 现在的存储量比去年同期的3.192万亿立方英尺高出1380亿立方英尺，增长4.3％，比五年平均水平3.129万亿立方英尺高出2010亿立方英尺，增长6.4％。 截至1月8日当周，将有1,390亿立方英尺的提取，这将使五年平均水平的顺差增加220亿立方英尺。 温和的天气推动住宅和商业需求较上周下降38亿立方英尺/天，导致本周平衡有所松动，美国需求下降25亿立方英尺/天。由于LNG出口和加拿大净进口量分别增加2亿和3亿立方英尺/天，较低的需求满足了每周6亿立方英尺/天的较高总供应量。 美国样本存储提取量本周仅下降4.6%，从547亿立方英尺降至522亿立方英尺。除中西部以外，美国所有地区的存储需求都在减少。东部和太平洋样本领跌，分别下降20亿和30亿立方英尺，这主要是由于两个地区的气温上升抑制了需求。 冯娟 摘译自 化工网 原文如下： US working natural gas volumes in underground storage decline 130 Bcf: EIA US natural gas in storage fell by 130 Bcf last week, with an even larger draw likely for the week in progress due to continued strong LNG export demand coupled with production losses in Texas. Henry Hub futures remain stagnant, however, as the storage surplus looks to expand in the weeks ahead. Storage inventories decreased to 3.330 Tcf for the week ended Jan. 1, the US Energy Information Administration reported Jan. 7. Responses to the survey ranged from a 121 to 157 Bcf withdrawal. The pull was much stronger than the 48 Bcf draw reported during the same week last year as well as the five-year average withdrawal of 115 Bcf, according to EIA data.The draw also proved stronger than the 114 Bcf pull reported for the week prior. Gas prices were bid up this week heading into the EIA storage report as both the European and American ensemble weather models gained heating degree days for January compared with last week. In focus is the weakening of the polar vortex and the potential for a colder base state in the back half of the month. The NYMEX Henry Hub February contract slipped 4 cents to $2.68/MMBtu in trading following the release of the weekly storage report at 10:30 am ET. US supply and demand balances were tighter as HDDs increased 10% week on week. Colder weather pushed residential and commercial demand 4.1 Bcf/d higher week on week–leading to a 3.9 Bcf/d increase in total US demand relative to the prior week. Higher demand was met with flat total supply, increasing the call on storage to balance. Storage volumes now stand 138 Bcf, or 4.3%, more than the year-ago level of 3.192 Tcf and 201 Bcf, or 6.4%, more than the five-year average of 3.129 Tcf. It currently forecasts a 139 Bcf withdrawal for the week ending Jan. 8, which would increase the surplus to the five-year average by 22 Bcf. The week in progress has seen balances loosen as milder weather pushed residential and commercial demand 3.8 Bcf/d lower week on week–leading to US demand declines of 2.5 Bcf/d. Lower demand was met with higher total supply gains of 600 MMcf/d week on week as LNG exports and net Canadian imports rose 200 and 300 MMcf/d, respectively. Sample storage withdrawals for the US retracted just 4.6% for the week in progress, dropping to 52.2 Bcf from 54.7 Bcf. Every region across the US, except for the Midwest, saw a reduced call on storage. The East and Pacific samples led the declines, falling by 2 and 3 Bcf, respectively, largely as a result of temperatures climbing. |
