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| 2021-01-18 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据1月13日Oil Monster消息：美国能源情报署(EIA)预计2021年美国原油日产量将减少19万桶至1110万桶，降幅小于此前预估的24万桶。 沙特阿拉伯本月承诺进一步自愿减产，将油价推升至近一年来的最高水平。 价格上涨促使美国能源公司增加钻井活动，美国石油钻井平台上周升至去年5月以来的最高水平。 EIA负责人Linda Capuano表示：“在EIA的数据库（可追溯到1949年）中，美国2020年的原油和石油产品出口量首次超过其年度进口量。而预估2021年和2022年，美国每年进口的原油和石油产品将多于出口。” 尽管如此，由于新冠病毒变种正在全球迅速蔓延，价格上涨和需求的任何复苏都受到了限制。 EIA预计，2021年美国石油和其他液体燃料消费量将增加145万桶，至1951万桶/天，增幅低于此前预估的163万桶/天。 2020年全球石油和液体燃料的日均消费量为9220万桶，比2019年减少900万桶。该机构预计，2021年全球需求将增长560万桶，至9777万桶/天，低于此前估计的约580万桶/日的增长。 该机构还估计，2022年全球石油日需求将增长330万桶，至10108万桶。而美国2022年石油产量预计将增加39万桶/天，至1149万桶/天。 冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster 原文如下： U.S. Crude Output to Decline Less Than Previously Forecast in 2021: EIA U.S. crude oil production is expected to fall by 190,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.1 million bpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday, a smaller decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 240,000 bpd. Saudi Arabia this month pledged additional, voluntary oil output cuts, sending oil prices to the highest in nearly a year. Higher prices have prompted U.S. energy firms to increase drilling activity, with U.S. oil rigs rising last week to their highest since May. “In 2020, the United States exported more crude oil and petroleum products than it imported on an annual basis for the first time in EIA’s data series that dates back to 1949,” EIA Administrator Linda Capuano said. “EIA expects the U.S. to return to importing more crude and petroleum products than it exports on an annual basis in 2021 and 2022.” Still, the price rally and any recovery in demand has been capped as new COVID-19 variants are rapidly spreading globally. EIA expects U.S. petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to rise 1.45 million bpd to 19.51 million bpd in 2021, a smaller increase than its previous forecast of a rise of 1.63 million bpd. The agency also estimates that global consumption of petroleum and liquid fuels averaged 92.2 million bpd for all of 2020, down by 9 million bpd from 2019. The agency expects global demand will grow by 5.6 million bpd in 2021 to 97.77 million bpd, lower than it’s previous estimate for a rise of about 5.8 million bpd. Worldwide coronavirus cases surpassed 90 million on Monday, according to Reuters tally, with nations scrambling to procure vaccines and extending or reinstating lockdowns. Global oil demand is expected to grow by 3.3 million bpd in 2022 to 101.08 million bpd, EIA said. U.S. oil output in 2022 is expected to rise 390,000 bpd to 11.49 million bpd. |
