|
| 2021-01-21 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
 |
 |
石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据阿纳多卢新闻1月18日消息称，欧佩克周四在其报告中表示，2021年全球石油需求预计将增长6.56%，增加590万桶/天，平均达到9591万桶/天。 报告称:“美国经济预计今年将恢复得相对较好，这将得益于可行疫苗的供应，以及目标明确的刺激措施，而这些措施反过来又将支持未来的石油需求。” 然而，根据欧佩克月度石油市场报告，预计2020年全球石油需求将减少975万桶/天，即9.8%，达到9000万桶/天。 该报告称，在欧洲，2021年的预测假设经济活动健康复苏，包括工业生产、就业市场改善和汽车销量高于2020年。“因此，预计今年的石油需求将稳步上升，主要受到运输和工业燃料的支持。” 在经合组织亚太地区，预计石油需求将出现七年来的首次增长，但仍将低于2019年的水平。“预计除了恢复经济活动外，2020年部分消费的损失将恢复增长，以支持2021年的需求增长。需求增长预计将由中国、印度和其他亚洲国家推动。” 2021年欧佩克原油需求与上月报告持平，为2720万桶/天，比2020年高出500万桶/天。 12月全球石油日产量较上月增加58万桶，平均日产量为9293万桶，较上年同期减少823万桶。 报告称，12月，欧佩克原油产量环比增加71万桶/天，达到平均2511万桶/天。 因此，12月欧佩克原油产量占全球总产量的比重上升到27.3%，比上月增长0.1%。 原油产量增加的主要是伊拉克和阿拉伯联合酋长国，而产量减少的主要是尼日利亚、刚果和安哥拉。 然而，尼日利亚的产量下降了2.8万桶/天，至142万桶/天。 非欧佩克国家12月的原油日产量比上月增加了30万桶，达到平均6757万桶。 朱佳妮 摘译自 阿纳多卢新闻 原文如下： Global oil demand to increase 6.56% in 2021: OPEC Global oil demand is expected to increase by 6.56%, by 5.9 million barrels per day (bpd), in 2021 to an average of 95.91 million bpd, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its report on Thursday. "The US economy is anticipated to recover relatively well this year, supported by the availability of viable vaccines in combination with well-targeted stimulus measures, which in turn will support oil demand going forward," the report said. Global oil demand in 2020, however, is estimated to have contracted by 9.75 million bpd, or 9.8%, to reach 90 million bpd, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. The report said, in Europe, 2021 projections assume a healthy recovery in economic activities including industrial production, an improving labor market and higher vehicle sales than in 2020. “Accordingly, oil demand is anticipated to rise steadily this year supported primarily by transportation and industrial fuels.” In OECD Asia Pacific, oil demand is projected to grow for the first time in seven years but will remain below 2019 levels. “A return of some of the consumption lost in 2020 in addition to recovering economic activities are projected to support a demand increase in 2021… Demand growth is projected to be driven by China, followed by India and Other Asia.” Demand for OPEC crude in 2021 remained unchanged from the previous month's report to stand at 27.2 million bpd, which is 5 million bpd higher than in 2020. Global oil production in December increased by 0.58 million bpd compared to the previous month to average 92.93 million bpd, showing a year-on-year fall of 8.23 million bpd. In December, OPEC crude oil production rose by 0.71 million bpd month-over-month to average 25.11 million bpd, according to the report. As a result, the share of OPEC crude out of total global production rose to 27.3% in December, marking a 0.1% increase compared with the previous month. Crude oil output increased mainly in Iraq and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while production decreased primarily in Nigeria, Congo and Angola. Nigeria’s production, however, fell by 28,000 bpd to 1.42 million bpd. Non-OPEC liquids production in December increased by 0.30 million bpd compared with the previous month to average 67.57 million bpd. |
