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全球石油供应主导的涨势逐渐减弱

2021-01-21     来源: 中国石化新闻网
石化新闻

    中国石化新闻网讯 据CNBC网站1月18日消息:周一,油价从上周触及的11个月高点进一步下跌,结束了始于10月底的反弹,随着新冠病毒感染上升,市场前景受到质疑。

    格林威治标准时间06:22时,布伦特原油下跌30美分,降幅0.5%,至每桶54.79美元,而上周五下跌2.3%。美国原油下跌21美分,降幅0.4%,至每桶52.15美元,在上一交易日下跌2.3%。

    受Covid-19疫苗开始推广和全球最大石油出口国沙特阿拉伯意外削减原油产量的推动,最近几周基准价格有所上涨。然而,全球新感染病例激增,引发人们对需求能维持多久的质疑。

    OANDA高级市场分析师Jeffrey Halley表示:“这两个合约的相对强弱指数(RSI)都处于超买区间,表明回调即将到来。”

    美国钻井商上周连续第八周让更多石油和天然气钻井平台开工,加大了进一步压力,因为价格上涨使生产更加有利可图。尽管如此,操作钻机的数量仍不到一年前水平的一半。

    近年来,随着沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯等主要产油国削减产量以支撑全球油气价格,美国页岩气生产商迅速对市场增长做出了反应,赢得了市场份额。

    知情人士表示,页岩商也在利用市场上涨的机会锁定未来销售的价格。

    冯娟 摘译自 CNBC

    原文如下:

    Oil’s supply-led rally peters out as virus cases surge

    Oil prices on Monday fell further from 11-month highs touched last week, ending a rally that started at end-October on production cuts and strong Chinese demand, with the market’s outlook questioned as coronavirus infections rise.

    Brent crude fell 30 cents, or 0.5%, to $54.79 a barrel by 0622 GMT, after dropping 2.3% on Friday. U.S. oil was down by 21 cents, or 0.4%, at $52.15 a barrel, having declined 2.3% in the previous trading session.

    The benchmarks had rallied in recent weeks, buoyed by the start of Covid-19 vaccine rollouts and a surprise cut of crude output by the world’s biggest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia. Surging new infections throughout the world, however, have raised doubts about how long demand would hold up.

    “The Relative Strength Indexes (RSI’s) on both contracts were in overbought territory, indicating a correction was on its way,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.

    U.S. drillers added further pressure by putting more oil and natural gas rigs to work for an eighth consecutive week last week because rising prices have made production more profitable. Still, the number of operating rigs is less than half of the level of a year ago.

    Still, U.S. drillers “have indicated they will continue to keep their spending under control,” ANZ Research said in a note. “The economics also don’t favor a surge in drilling, with half of the industry still uneconomical.”

    U.S. shale producers have quickly responded to market gains in recent years, winning market share as Saudi Arabia and other major producers such as Russia have cut production in an attempt to support global oil and gas prices.

    Shale companies are also taking advantage of market gains by locking in prices for future sales, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters at the end of last week.

    In China, where new Covid-19 infections have been rising, more than 28 million people are in lockdown as Beijing tries to avoid a resurgence of the coronavirus in the country where it was first discovered.

 
 
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