|
| 2021-01-29 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
 |
 |
石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网1月27日新加坡报道，周二，国际能源署(IEA)高级分析师在欧洲天然气会议上表示，今年全球天然气需求预计将增长2.8%，约1100亿立方米，恢复到2019年的水平。 IEA高级天然气分析师让-巴蒂斯特·杜布罗伊（Jean-Baptiste Dubreuil）在虚拟会议上表示，全球天然气市场去年出现了有记录以来的最大跌幅，由于年初天气温和，新冠疫情抑制了能源需求，因此消费量下降了约1000亿立方米。 然而，他补充道，天然气需求比石油等其他能源更具弹性。 由于寒冷的天气和供应问题，疫情导致的创历史新低的液化天然气现货价格，今年已反弹至创纪录的高位。 杜布罗伊称，天然气需求比其他燃料对温度更敏感。 他补充道，尽管全球天然气需求预计今年将复苏，但预计不会出现重大反弹，更成熟的市场将只是逐步复苏，一些市场仍不能恢复到2019年的水平。 他还表示，在中期液化天然气需求不确定的情况下，他预计将出现新的机会和挑战，约三分之一的活跃液化天然气合同将于2025年到期，而液化产能将增长20%，是目前未签约量的四倍。 郝芬 译自 能源世界网 原文如下： Global gas demand likely to grow by 2.8 per cent this year: IEA Global gas demand is expected to grow by 2.8% this year, or about 110 billion cubic metres (bcm), recovering towards 2019 levels, a senior analyst from the International Energy Agency (IEA) said at the European Gas conference on Tuesday. Global gas markets posted their largest drop on record last year, with consumption falling by an estimated 100 bcm as milder weather at the start of the year and the COVID-19 pandemic slammed energy demand, the IEA's senior natural gas analyst Jean-Baptiste Dubreuil told the virtual conference. Still, gas demand proved more resilient than that for other energy sources such as oil, he added. Record low LNG spot prices due to the pandemic have rebounded to record highs this year, supported by freezing temperatures and supply issues. "Natural gas demand is more temperature sensitive than other fuels," said Dubreuil. He added that while global gas demand is expected to recover this year, no major rebound is expected and more mature markets will see only a gradual recovery, with some still not returning to their 2019 levels. He also said he expected new opportunities and challenges against a backdrop of uncertain medium-term LNG demand, with about one third of active LNG contracts due to expire by 2025, while liquefaction capacity is set to grow by 20%, quadrupling the amount of current uncontracted volumes. |
