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| 2021-03-22 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
据今日油价网站3月19日消息 尽管有猜测称，石油需求在2019年达到峰值，当时全球新冠疫情还未对石油行业造成严重打击，但国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告显示，由于2026年之前石油需求将继续增加，这一假设可能被夸大了。 可再生能源的创新和对Covid-19流感的需求减少，使专家们相信石油时代正在慢慢失去动力。然而，随着亚洲市场的增长和许多国家恢复到疫情前的需求水平，情况可能并非如此。 根据国际能源署的最新报告，未来两年内对石油的需求可能达到疫情前的水平。到2023年，如果全球需求在亚洲的推动下继续保持目前的增长速度，石油产量可能超过1亿桶/日。 尽管大多数发达国家的石油需求可能不会恢复到疫情前的水平，但由于旅行和工作的变化，在过去一年中，需求下降了，而且看来还会继续，电动汽车和其他可再生能源的使用也会增加，发展中国家以及中国等主要消费者的需求可能是这一需求的主要驱动力。 王磊 摘译自 今日油价 原文如下： IEA: Asia To Account For 90% Of Global Oil Demand Growth Through 2025 Despite speculation that oil demand peaked in 2019, before the global pandemic hit the industry hard, a new IEA report suggests this assumption may have been overstated as demand is set to continue increasing until 2026. Innovations in renewable energy and the decreased demand in response to the Covid-19 pandemic made experts believe the oil era was slowly losing momentum. However, as the Asian market grows and many countries return to pre-pandemic demand levels, this may not be true. According to the new IEA report, demand for oil could hit pre-pandemic levels within the next two years. By 2023, oil production could exceed 100m bpd if world demand, driven significantly by Asia, continues at its current growth rate. While oil demand may not return to pre-pandemic levels in most developed countries, due to travel and work changes that have driven demand down over the last year and look set to stay as well as greater uptake of electric vehicles and other renewable options, demand across the developing world as well as major consumers like China could be the main drivers of this demand. |
