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| 2021-04-14 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据石油新闻2021年4月13日报道，由于欧佩克及其盟友计划在未来几个月里向市场释放更多原油供应，欧佩克4月13日上调了其对今年全球石油需求的预期。 在4月13日发布的备受关注的月度石油市场报告中，欧佩克将其对全球石油需求的预测从3月份的估计上调了19万桶/天，预计今年全球石油日均消费量将达到9646万桶，理由是经济刺激计划和进一步放松COVID-19封锁措施。 欧佩克在报告中预计今年全球石油日需求将增长595万桶，而今年3月的预测为589万桶。 就在两周前，在欧佩克+技术委员会一些成员的压力下，欧佩克把今年全球石油需求增长预测下调了约5%，至560万桶/天，这些成员支持维持紧张的生产配额。 欧佩克及其合作伙伴最终在4月1日突然同意放宽配额，在7月前每天向市场增加供应200多万桶石油，寄希望于全球经济更强劲的复苏。 欧佩克+联盟将在5月份将总产量上限提高35万桶/天，6月份再提高35万桶/天，7月份再提高44.1万桶/天。 与此同时，沙特阿拉伯将在5月、6月和7月分别削减25万桶/天、35万桶/天和40万桶/天的配额，此前沙特一直在配额之外额外削减100万桶/天以帮助支撑市场。 李峻 编译自 石油新闻 原文如下： OPEC raises 2021 oil demand forecast with more supply on the way OPEC has increased its oil demand outlook for 2021 just as the bloc and its allies plan to unleash more crude supplies over the next few months. In its closely watched monthly oil market report released April 13, OPEC raised its demand forecast by 190,000 b/d from its March estimate, expecting consumption to average 96.46 million b/d this year, citing economic stimulus programs and a further easing of COVID-19 lockdown measures. Year on year, global oil demand was projected to grow 5.95 million b/d in 2021, compared with the 5.89 million b/d forecast in March. Only two weeks ago, OPEC cut its 2021 oil demand growth forecast by about 5% to 5.6 million b/d after pressure by some members of an OPEC+ technical committee who favored maintaining tight production quotas. OPEC and its partners ended up abruptly agreeing April 1 to loosen their quotas and add more than 2 million b/d into the market by July, banking on a more robust recovery for the global economy. The OPEC+ alliance will raise its collective output caps by 350,000 b/d in May, another 350,000 b/d in June, and 441,000 b/d in July. At the same time, Saudi Arabia, which has been cutting an extra 1 million b/d on top of its quota to help bolster the market, will unwind it by 250,000 b/d in May, 350,000 b/d in June and 400,000 b/d in July. |
