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| 2019-12-11 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
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石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据全球石油新闻2019年12月9日安克雷奇报道，据美国阿拉斯加州税务局预测，阿拉斯加州北斜坡的液体燃料产量在2024年底前将下降，然后由于几个已规划项目的启动，北斜坡的液体燃料产量将逐渐回升到目前的水平。 美国能源部周五在其最新的阿拉斯加州石油产量展望报告中称，预计在截至6月30日的当前财年(即2020财年)，阿拉斯加州北斜坡石油日产量将降至49.2万桶的平均水平。目前阿拉斯加州北斜坡石油日产量大约为50万桶。从7月开始的预算年度——2020财政年度的平均石油日产量为49.05万桶。 这个预测包括原油以及所产的与原油混合的天然气液体，这些天然气液体将通过跨阿拉斯加管道系统运输。 然而，预计到2024财年前，阿拉斯加州北斜坡石油产量将出现更大幅度的下降，届时，北斜坡石油平均日产量预计将在43.43万桶桶，之后，由于预期新产量的影响，产量将再次上升。该预测预计，到2029年，阿拉斯加州北斜坡石油日产量将恢复至49.45万桶。 在2019财年，阿拉斯加州北斜坡的石油平均日总产量为49.69万桶。石油产量预测预计，未来几年阿拉斯加州北斜坡的石油产量将保持相对稳定，2020财年日产49.21万桶，2021财年日产49.05万桶。 李峻 编译自 全球石油新闻 原文如下： Alaska predicts near-term oil production decline Alaska's revenue forecasters predict a dip in North Slope liquids production through 2024 and then a gradual increase back toward current output as several planned projects start up, according to the state's Department of Revenue. The outlook is for slope output, now at about 500,000 b/d, to decline to an average of 492,000 b/d through state fiscal 2020, the current budget year that ends June 30. Production would average 490,500 in fiscal 2020, the budget year beginning July, the department said Friday in an update of Alaska's production outlook. The forecast includes crude oil as well as natural gas liquids produced and blended with crude for shipment through the Trans Alaska Pipeline System. Steeper declines are expected by fiscal 2024, however, when slope production is expected to average 434,300 b/d, before increasing again as the impact of expected new production is felt. The forecast predicts a return to 494,500 b/d by 2029. Total crude oil production from Alaska's North Slope averaged 496,900 barrels per day in FY 2019. The oil production forecast expects ANS production to remain relatively stable in coming years, with production of 492,100 barrels per day in FY 2020 and 490,500 barrels per day in FY 2021. |
